08-22-07, 05:08 PM
|
#1
|
|
|
I am going to write a sports gambling book
I will call it "your guess is as good as mine"
who posted the average runs scored in bannister contreras games vs opposing teams was like an average of 12
__________________
Systems and Trends are bullShit bet the better team.
|
|
|
|
08-22-07, 05:12 PM
|
#2
|
|
|
I was wrong it is actually 10
__________________
Systems and Trends are bullShit bet the better team.
|
|
|
|
08-22-07, 05:12 PM
|
#3
|
|
|
why was the line so low at 8.5 ??
__________________
Systems and Trends are bullShit bet the better team.
|
|
|
|
08-22-07, 05:20 PM
|
#4
|
|
|
because of bannister...for what ever reason...
|
|
|
|
08-22-07, 05:22 PM
|
#5
|
|
|
very surprised so many played under
__________________
Systems and Trends are bullShit bet the better team.
|
|
|
|
08-22-07, 05:23 PM
|
#6
|
|
|
It was 9 and then it moved down to 8.5 , then I looked same time frame and saw sonnys under 8.5 clicked in like 10 minutes after it moved , he was going with the line movement . If I had to answer I would say Soprano wagered 10 k on the under 9 runs early yesterday ? and then his buddies did a lil of the same ............ so moved down half a run and looked like a wise $ play . Not to me it wasnt . But by watching the game it could have went under just as easily as it happened to go over .
|
|
|
|
08-22-07, 05:31 PM
|
#7
|
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by EJandV
It was 9 and then it moved down to 8.5 , then I looked same time frame and saw sonnys under 8.5 clicked in like 10 minutes after it moved , he was going with the line movement . If I had to answer I would say Soprano wagered 10 k on the under 9 runs early yesterday ? and then his buddies did a lil of the same ............ so moved down half a run and looked like a wise $ play . Not to me it wasnt . But by watching the game it could have went under just as easily as it happened to go over .
|
but 12 of 16 in the past went over 9
__________________
Systems and Trends are bullShit bet the better team.
|
|
|
|
08-22-07, 05:49 PM
|
#8
|
|
|
Last minute pick
-----------------
|
|
|
|
08-22-07, 06:02 PM
|
#9
|
|
|
yeah well 9 is a normal o/u which is how it came out , it really is not a huge factor on past matchups for the o/u , it is like big time factors for that are in the here and now frame with the starters and the teams runs per game plus lefty righty , it could have been 9.5 if the only factor was how bad contreras had done vs kc and the factor of past matchups being over , but they concentrate on the present more . In all reality contreras or bannister could have no hit the other team so damn the under would always be worth a shot if that was any kind of decent % to happen , which of course any pitcher can do well , get lucky alot , d makes web gem after web gem in the field robbing the hitters , making the starter look saaaweett , the over/under is far more complex than picking a team to win . My best scenario for how easy it can be > you take the over and one is blowout>>>> winning team goes over the total by themselves . Also , the formula to get the over is simply both teams do their part offensively , hitting their averageruns per game and is a cakewalk for the over to cash . Off the top of my head ..... my fav scenario to make cash is fav and over , maybe thats why I am not a millionaire , no its becauseof the online casino bs . For me on the over under thing I am not there yet really , not evolved , even though I know everythign about it ........... is complex really . The over has cost me a many parlay in my day , throwing that bs on there ot make more $ / greedy .
Last edited by EJandV; 08-22-07 at 06:04 PM..
|
|
|
|
08-22-07, 06:07 PM
|
#10
|
|
|
Yea, I looked at the stats after seeing sonnys pick today and the under just didn't make sense.. Glad I stayed away  |
|
|
|
08-22-07, 06:28 PM
|
#11
|
|
|
past history works for me, just need to be on the right side of it when it comes around
__________________
Systems and Trends are bullShit bet the better team.
|
|
|
|
08-22-07, 06:30 PM
|
#12
|
|
|
Trends would be past history right ? You would be all over the mets then right ?
|
|
|
|
08-22-07, 06:32 PM
|
#13
|
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by EJandV
Trends would be past history right ? You would be all over the mets then right ?
|
why would that be
__________________
Systems and Trends are bullShit bet the better team.
|
|
|
|
08-22-07, 06:33 PM
|
#14
|
|
|
mets have dominated them .
|
|
|
|
08-22-07, 06:36 PM
|
#15
|
|
|
is past history trend , is really the biggest trend on the board today mets 7 - 0 past 7 vs padres in NY .
|
|
|
|
08-22-07, 06:37 PM
|
#16
|
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by EJandV
mets have dominated them .
|
they split the last 20 since 2001 10-10 in NY
were 10-10 over all until this series started as well last 20
SD 11-9 at home last 20
peavy 4-4 overall
lawrence new to SD
__________________
Systems and Trends are bullShit bet the better team.
Last edited by AC1318; 08-22-07 at 06:39 PM..
|
|
|
|
08-22-07, 06:43 PM
|
#17
|
|
|
I know you dont go back that far , lol at that 1 . Now you are getting a sense of humor AC  seriously it is the biggest trend today with team vs team playing at , is actually at 100 % is rock solid trend , going against the Mets would fall into playing the due theory , mets due to scratch this 7 - 0 100% super trend . I dont like the game . |
|
|
|
08-22-07, 07:37 PM
|
#18
|
|
|
in the kc-cws 7 of the 13 runs were scored after the 7th, so the bullpens screwed the under. i would be pretty pissed
__________________
Handling the luck through adjustments in your play, is one of the great arts in gambling.
BOBBY BALDWIN
Luck! There is such a thing, and i know that there is, because it comes in two kinds. Good and bad.
NICK "THE GREEK" DANDALOS
|
|
|
|
08-22-07, 07:56 PM
|
#19
|
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by xxx
in the kc-cws 7 of the 13 runs were scored after the 7th, so the bullpens screwed the under. i would be pretty pissed
|
that is the way every night in almost every game
__________________
Systems and Trends are bullShit bet the better team.
|
|
|
|
08-22-07, 08:35 PM
|
#20
|
|
|
do any of you bet the second halves of games?? the 6th inning on total runs scored is usually 3 1/2 to 4 runs...I've done this 4 times this year and am 3-1...seems like pens give up more runs the last 2 months of the season so maybe worth a try...
|
|
|
|
|
Linear Mode
