08-22-07, 05:08 PM
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#1
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I am going to write a sports gambling book
I will call it "your guess is as good as mine"
who posted the average runs scored in bannister contreras games vs opposing teams was like an average of 12
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Systems and Trends are bullShit bet the better team.
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08-22-07, 05:12 PM
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#2
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I was wrong it is actually 10
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Systems and Trends are bullShit bet the better team.
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08-22-07, 05:12 PM
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#3
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why was the line so low at 8.5 ??
__________________
Systems and Trends are bullShit bet the better team.
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08-22-07, 05:20 PM
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#4
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because of bannister...for what ever reason...
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08-22-07, 05:22 PM
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#5
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very surprised so many played under
__________________
Systems and Trends are bullShit bet the better team.
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08-22-07, 05:23 PM
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#6
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It was 9 and then it moved down to 8.5 , then I looked same time frame and saw sonnys under 8.5 clicked in like 10 minutes after it moved , he was going with the line movement . If I had to answer I would say Soprano wagered 10 k on the under 9 runs early yesterday ? and then his buddies did a lil of the same ............ so moved down half a run and looked like a wise $ play . Not to me it wasnt . But by watching the game it could have went under just as easily as it happened to go over .
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08-22-07, 05:31 PM
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#7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EJandV
It was 9 and then it moved down to 8.5 , then I looked same time frame and saw sonnys under 8.5 clicked in like 10 minutes after it moved , he was going with the line movement . If I had to answer I would say Soprano wagered 10 k on the under 9 runs early yesterday ? and then his buddies did a lil of the same ............ so moved down half a run and looked like a wise $ play . Not to me it wasnt . But by watching the game it could have went under just as easily as it happened to go over .
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but 12 of 16 in the past went over 9
__________________
Systems and Trends are bullShit bet the better team.
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08-22-07, 05:49 PM
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#8
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Last minute pick
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08-22-07, 06:02 PM
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#9
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yeah well 9 is a normal o/u which is how it came out , it really is not a huge factor on past matchups for the o/u , it is like big time factors for that are in the here and now frame with the starters and the teams runs per game plus lefty righty , it could have been 9.5 if the only factor was how bad contreras had done vs kc and the factor of past matchups being over , but they concentrate on the present more . In all reality contreras or bannister could have no hit the other team so damn the under would always be worth a shot if that was any kind of decent % to happen , which of course any pitcher can do well , get lucky alot , d makes web gem after web gem in the field robbing the hitters , making the starter look saaaweett , the over/under is far more complex than picking a team to win . My best scenario for how easy it can be > you take the over and one is blowout>>>> winning team goes over the total by themselves . Also , the formula to get the over is simply both teams do their part offensively , hitting their averageruns per game and is a cakewalk for the over to cash . Off the top of my head ..... my fav scenario to make cash is fav and over , maybe thats why I am not a millionaire , no its becauseof the online casino bs . For me on the over under thing I am not there yet really , not evolved , even though I know everythign about it ........... is complex really . The over has cost me a many parlay in my day , throwing that bs on there ot make more $ / greedy .
Last edited by EJandV; 08-22-07 at 06:04 PM..
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08-22-07, 06:07 PM
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#10
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Yea, I looked at the stats after seeing sonnys pick today and the under just didn't make sense.. Glad I stayed away  |
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08-22-07, 06:28 PM
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#11
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past history works for me, just need to be on the right side of it when it comes around
__________________
Systems and Trends are bullShit bet the better team.
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08-22-07, 06:30 PM
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#12
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Trends would be past history right ? You would be all over the mets then right ?
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08-22-07, 06:32 PM
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#13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EJandV
Trends would be past history right ? You would be all over the mets then right ?
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why would that be
__________________
Systems and Trends are bullShit bet the better team.
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08-22-07, 06:33 PM
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#14
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mets have dominated them .
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08-22-07, 06:36 PM
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#15
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is past history trend , is really the biggest trend on the board today mets 7 - 0 past 7 vs padres in NY .
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08-22-07, 06:37 PM
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#16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EJandV
mets have dominated them .
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they split the last 20 since 2001 10-10 in NY
were 10-10 over all until this series started as well last 20
SD 11-9 at home last 20
peavy 4-4 overall
lawrence new to SD
__________________
Systems and Trends are bullShit bet the better team.
Last edited by AC1318; 08-22-07 at 06:39 PM..
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08-22-07, 06:43 PM
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#17
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I know you dont go back that far , lol at that 1 . Now you are getting a sense of humor AC  seriously it is the biggest trend today with team vs team playing at , is actually at 100 % is rock solid trend , going against the Mets would fall into playing the due theory , mets due to scratch this 7 - 0 100% super trend . I dont like the game . |
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08-22-07, 07:37 PM
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#18
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in the kc-cws 7 of the 13 runs were scored after the 7th, so the bullpens screwed the under. i would be pretty pissed
__________________
"My old man always said: 'the day I can't do my job drunk is the day I turn in my badge and gun'..."
Anonymous
Handling the luck through adjustments in your play, is one of the great arts in gambling.
BOBBY BALDWIN
Luck! There is such a thing, and i know that there is, because it comes in two kinds. Good and bad.
NICK "THE GREEK" DANDALOS
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08-22-07, 07:56 PM
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#19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by xxx
in the kc-cws 7 of the 13 runs were scored after the 7th, so the bullpens screwed the under. i would be pretty pissed
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that is the way every night in almost every game
__________________
Systems and Trends are bullShit bet the better team.
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08-22-07, 08:35 PM
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#20
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do any of you bet the second halves of games?? the 6th inning on total runs scored is usually 3 1/2 to 4 runs...I've done this 4 times this year and am 3-1...seems like pens give up more runs the last 2 months of the season so maybe worth a try...
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