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Old 06-20-09, 05:10 AM   #1
Pair of 5s Sir
 
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Default Saturday - Pair of 5's Sir

Let recap yesterday's selections:

Over Cubs 9 +105 (W)
Pirates +145 (L)
Red Sox -1.5 +130 (L)
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Old 06-20-09, 08:58 AM   #2
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Atlanta O/U 29-34
Boston O/U 27-32

Combined ERA 8.25

Home Plate Umpire - Gary Darling O/U 4-6
Darling has tight zone if you clocked him as I have. I have him as an Over ump.

You don't have to pay an Under premium on the line.

Under money at 71%

All bias toward the Under.

Consider all the under bias and my season long clocking of Darling, load up on the Over.

Red Sox Over 8.5 -110
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Old 06-20-09, 09:01 AM   #3
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Thats a ballsy play considering that Lowe and Beckett are on the mound. I took ATL ML today, as my single bet of the day. But I wouldn't dare take take over. But they don't call you the Contrarian for nothing. Gl today
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Old 06-20-09, 09:24 AM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
Thats a ballsy play considering that Lowe and Beckett are on the mound. I took ATL ML today, as my single bet of the day. But I wouldn't dare take take over. But they don't call you the Contrarian for nothing. Gl today
Thanks for dropping in. Just look at the Cub/Indians game yesterday, it was definitely "the game that can't go over". I would not put this one exactly in that category but you can see the method to my madness. I really like Darling behind the plate on a under bias game. His zone is tight and frustrating. Tune in and see.
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Old 06-20-09, 11:13 AM   #5
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Pair, i like your confidence and i love this play especially when i see it moving from O8.5 -105 a few hours ago to O8.5 -120 now.
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Old 06-20-09, 11:35 AM   #6
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To clarify an earlier post.

Over Red Sox 8.5 -110 on the load up.
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Last edited by Pair of 5s Sir; 06-20-09 at 12:33 PM..
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Old 06-20-09, 01:39 PM   #7
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Brewers/Tigers bring an angle that I have not discussed with the SBR family. The angle is the following: When the ML % money is greater than 50% on the favorite, and that favorite has less than 50% on the RL money percentage, you play the ML favorite.

Brewers ML 54%, RL 33%

Carpenter last outing pitched against the Church of Cliff Lee, so he is going to get a big pass with the square money. Bannister will give the Cardinals problems, especially with there recent hot bats.

Pirates last night did not play well but with a steady outing from Morton the Rockies are due for a close one. The price on the Rockies hype brings us contrarian on the Buccos.

Brewers -110
Royals +155
Pirates +150
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Last edited by Pair of 5s Sir; 06-20-09 at 01:50 PM..
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Old 06-20-09, 01:51 PM   #8
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Default Selection Recap

Brewers -110
Royals +155
Pirates +150
Over Red Sox 8.5 -110
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Old 06-20-09, 04:00 PM   #9
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Pair, how do you like white sox as a contrarian play:

* their bats are cold;
* Cueto has lowest ERA in NL, 3rd in the league
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Old 06-20-09, 05:18 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Netprofit View Post
Pair, how do you like white sox as a contrarian play:

* their bats are cold;
* Cueto has lowest ERA in NL, 3rd in the league

Good points to look at, but the next question is how is Cin against left handed pitching? I see Cueto going 7 innings and giving up 3 runs.
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Old 06-20-09, 05:32 PM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Netprofit View Post
Pair, how do you like white sox as a contrarian play:

* their bats are cold;
* Cueto has lowest ERA in NL, 3rd in the league
It's funny that you asked me about this game. I was capping it stating the same thing. However, it goes contrarian with an Over play.
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Old 06-20-09, 05:33 PM   #12
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Over Reds 8 -110
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Old 06-20-09, 06:15 PM   #13
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Brewers -110 (L)
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Old 06-20-09, 07:49 PM   #14
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Royals +155 (L)
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Old 06-20-09, 08:14 PM   #15
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Over Reds 8 -110 (W)
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Old 06-20-09, 08:22 PM   #16
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Over Red Sox 8.5 -110 (L)
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Old 06-20-09, 08:36 PM   #17
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Under A's 8 -110
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Old 06-20-09, 11:10 PM   #18
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Pirates meltdown
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Old 06-20-09, 11:22 PM   #19
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first bad night of the season for the contrarian and yes the buccos ship imploded.
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Old 06-20-09, 11:41 PM   #20
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There comes a night when mostly everything goes real bad. Most people will not take the time to castigate themselves but I will do the pleasure. The contrarian angle, sucked wind creating a negative production both in units and monetary accumlation.

Over Red Sox 8.5 -110 (L)
Brewers -110 (L)
Royals -155 (L)
Pirates +150 (L)
Over Reds 8 (W)
Under Athletics 8 -110 (L)

Will you guys let me get away with one of these nights or will I be put into bashers jail.

Stay threaded and stay contrarian
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