July 9 Ganchalysis

Ganchrow · 07-09-2006, 11:36 AM

Cleveland 64% - Lopez has all kinds of questions and negative statistical indicators, and a day game vs the Cleveland lineup is not a good situation for him. Cleveland's offense was underachieving at times this year, but lately they have gotten more on track, and they are likely to hit Lopez here. Westbrook got crushed by Baltimore his last time against them this season, and a shelling is always a real possibility with him, but he has settled down recently and a quality start is likely.

bigboydan · 07-09-2006, 01:23 PM

whats your thoughts on the detroit/seattle game ganchrow ?

i'm leaning towards seattle myself today.

Ganchrow · 07-09-2006, 01:41 PM

Colorado 59% - Cook has been a little inconsistent of late, but he should throw a quality start here. Cruz has had wild volatility to his starts this year, and Colorado has a strong lineup that will take advantage if he has the same issues of diminished velocity and sharpness he had in his last start. If he does throw a strong start, the Colorado lineup will be dangerous when the erratic Arizona bullpen comes in. As long as Cook throws a solid game, giving up 3 runs or less in 7 or more innings, Colorado will have a strong edge.

Ganchrow · 07-09-2006, 02:27 PM

Detroit 53% - The most uncertain issue for this game is Robertson's curious day/night performance disparity. It hasn't been as extreme this year as it has been in seasons past, and he has had decent daytime outings this year, but it is still present this season, and going on the road facing the quirky Seattle lineup may well bring about a bad start for him. Ordinarily, Safeco is the kind of park Robertson would do well in, and his career record there supports that. Meche also has a high degree of uncertainty for this game. He pitched well recently, although his last start was not good. Statistically, he is equally likely to have a good start as he is to have a bad one.

Oakland 56% - Santana still has problems both in the daytime and on the road, and although he is maturing out of his rookie inconsistencies, facing the patient Oakland lineup with Haren opposing him puts the Angels at a disadvantage. Haren has been very sharp at home recently, shutting down some very capable lineups, and while the Angels have been producing offensively of late, Haren is likely to hold them down here. The Oakland lineup is very weak right now however, and if they don't manage to push some runs across the plate early on, the Angels will have an advantage when the bullpens get involved.

Ganchrow · 07-09-2006, 03:26 PM

St. Louis 65% - St. Louis has a major edge in this game. Carpenter is off of a rain-shortened start and should be strong here. Pettitte, on the other hand, has gotten hit this year, and his last start, vs the weak Cubs' lineup, was worse than it looks in the stat line. Both pens are in poor shape right now, but St. Louis has a good chance of a multiple-run lead late in the game, in which case the pens will matter less.