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Old 07-07-06, 05:09 PM   #1
Ganchrow
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Default July 7 Ganchalysis

Philadelphia 56% - Lieber has some very real question marks for this game. He was mediocre before going on the DL, and he is likely to have problems here in his first start back. His minor league rehab outings only add doubts for this game. Snell will also be vulnerable here in a hitters' park. The lineups and pens rate roughly even.

Cleveland 65% - Baltimore has been having a lot of trouble vs quality lefties this year, and they should struggle offensively here again. Cleveland, however, is not playing well right now, and their struggles in the field and with their pen should also continue to the break. Those issues are not likely to matter here however, as the offense should get to Benson, and Sabathia should have a quality start.

Washington 57% - The Washington pen is extended right now, and that could well come back to hurt them in this game. On the other side, the San Diego pen is better rested and likely to be effective at RFK, a similar park to Petco. Ortiz, however, is likely to have a quality start here vs the weak San Diego offense, and the resurgent Washington lineup might obviate the need for a meaningful performance by the bullpen. The biggest question is Williams, and how much he has left in his arm. He is likely to throw a good game here, but the Washington lineup and Ortiz are likely to combine for good games and give washington a solid edge.

Yankees 53% - Seo has been a bit of an enigma throughout his career. There were some good signs in his last start, but he is still likely to get hit at least moderately hard in this game. Wright should have another mediocre low-inning outing, exposing the Yankees' bullpen more than they would like it to be. The Tampa Bay offense is on the rise and could have an explosive day here.

Florida 59% - Lima was modestly effective in his most recent minor league stint, which is better than was to be expected. Willis is likely to have a good start here, but the Marlins' young team looks like it is hitting a wall and is staggering to the break. The effectiveness of Willis is the key to this game, and while he has been less dominant than he has been in the past, he is still likely to throw a quality start, which will give Florida a solid edge.
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Old 07-07-06, 05:15 PM   #2
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I definitely expect the Pirates to score some runs. Good luck with whatever you play, I enjoyed reading it.
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Old 07-07-06, 05:33 PM   #3
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i was leaning toward baltimore tonight myself ganch.

whats your thoughts on the halo's/a's game ?
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Old 07-07-06, 05:47 PM   #4
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Atlanta 58% - The story of this game is the 2 terrible bullpens involved. The acquisition of Guardado makes no difference at all for Cincinnati, he will just be another lead-blower coming in from their pen. Ramirez has been great at Turner in his career, and a strong outing from him is important for Atlanta, and he should have another one here. Milton is more likely than usual to have a quality start.
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Old 07-07-06, 06:29 PM   #5
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St. Louis 56% - Rodriguez has been having problems recently that aren't fixed yet, and this game is shaping up to be one of the home blowouts Houston has suffered at times this season. Marquis is likely to have some problems as well, but he is significantly more likely than Rodriguez to have a quality start.
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Old 07-07-06, 07:24 PM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bigboydan
i was leaning toward baltimore tonight myself ganch.

whats your thoughts on the halo's/a's game ?
I'm curious to know your thoughts on OAK/LAA too.
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Old 07-07-06, 08:18 PM   #7
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Oakland 54% - There is a lot of uncertainty to this game, due to a variety of factors. Zito is off of a high pitch count game, and if he suffers ill effects from that, Oakland will suffer greatly, as their pen is in an extended state right now. Additionally, there is of course the possibility of a psychological impact from the last time Lackey faced Oakland, and the fight that took place in that game. That impact is likely to favor Oakland. The key to this game will be the performance of Lackey, who is more likely than usual to have an off game. If that happens, the impact of a tired Oakland pen and Zito's likely sub-par outing will be mitigated.
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