[diogee]

Yes I am tk

[diogee]

2nd game chases
924 Kc/Tam under 8.5 -105
928 Tor/Laa under 7 -120

[diogee]

976 Tor/Laa under 8.5 -110 (3rd game chase)
952 Was/Cin under 8.5 -115
956 Hou/Atl under 9 -105
972 Oak/Cws under 7.5 -120

[FreeFall]

diogee I was going to try your chase system today for the totals. But I was having a little trouble trying to figure it out. I'm using covers btw.

wash v cin are
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cincinnati.
so you bet the over? until it hits? What if there is one meeting between them left? Then just chase one team?

atl v hou
Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
so bet the over?

oak v chi white
Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.
so bet the over?

minn v cle
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
so bet the under?

sfg v lad
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
so bet the over?

am I doing this right?

[diogee]

Originally Posted by FreeFall

diogee I was going to try your chase system today for the totals. But I was having a little trouble trying to figure it out. I'm using covers btw.

wash v cin are
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cincinnati.
so you bet the over? until it hits? What if there is one meeting between them left? Then just chase one team?

atl v hou
Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
so bet the over?

oak v chi white
Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.
so bet the over?

minn v cle
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
so bet the under?

sfg v lad
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
so bet the over?

am I doing this right?

The only one that is actually a series chase is Tor/Laa. The others are just based off of limited handicapping (didn't have time to do an extensive look in).
I didn't really look at the past meetings for any of these games.

Whenever I fade a streak it is usually on a team...like if the Dodgers were to have 6 or 7 games in a row that went under then I would fade for an over. This number changes based on the team that I am fading the streak on. It depends on what the o/u % is. The Braves have went under 3 straight but I wouldn't chase an over until at least 7 straight since they are the top under team. Angels have went over 4 straight and are a top under team so I will be chasing the under for 1 more game if it loses today. Just some ideas that I had and decided to try out since my handicapping is limited right now due to work.

[FreeFall]

so you've found it to work if a team hits a o/u streak of 7 games. that if you chase the next 3? or 5? you win say 90% of the time? or just playing right now and not really sure what the stats play out too?

Thanks again for your hard work diogee. You seem to be doing quite well!

[diogee]

Originally Posted by FreeFall

so you've found it to work if a team hits a o/u streak of 7 games. that if you chase the next 3? or 5? you win say 90% of the time? or just playing right now and not really sure what the stats play out too?

Thanks again for your hard work diogee. You seem to be doing quite well!

Not exactly sure on the stats yet...just tracking it and seeing how it plays out. 4 chases is probably my cap but I think that should be enough given that variance should play a factor by the time a team gets to a 7,8, 9 game o/u streak. The key is not starting the chase too soon...I take a quick glance at the pitchers in the next couple of games but the biggest factor comes from what % of their games have went the opposite way of the streak. Just a theory that a team will have a good or bad outing somewhere in that stretch to wreck the streak.

[ChuteBoxe]

Here we go bud! Against the top of the order! No runs!

[accuscoresucks]

gl guys today

[diogee]

1 to go...I need this SOB bad. Overbet the f*cker.

[ChuteBoxe]

Got it!!

[diogee]

Originally Posted by ChuteBoxe

Got it!!

Was sweating that one out after the lead off double.

[diogee]

YTD:
sides: 245-247 -10.02
totals: 107-89 +43.81
Parlays: 13-28 -1.53
MLB Best bets thread: 51-33 +17.67

Overall: 416-397 [51.2%] +49.93

[diogee]

908 Padres -113 *possible home favorite chase*
904 Phillies -137

series chases
918 Sea/Oak under 8 -120
906 Col/Mil under 9 -115
910 Atl/Lad under 7.5 +100
915 Angels -145
906 Brewers -135
910 Dodgers -137

[diogee]

YTD:
sides: 247-250 -11.87
totals: 110-89 +46.81
Parlays: 13-28 -1.53
MLB Best bets thread: 51-33 +17.67

Overall: 421-400 [51.2%] +51.08