I like Florida/Atlanta Over 8.5 tonite! Neither pitcher is going particularly well (Jurrjens & Olsen) and both pens are horrible! 6 straight Brave games have reached 9 total runs with the Braves giving up most of those. The Fish can easily pitch around Chipper Jones but Olsen has been bad on the road so I expect the Braves to score as well! When you combine several sluggers with horrible defense and bullpen work you can see why Florida has played so many more Overs this year!
Don't know about that one? D. Lowe is 5-0 lifetime vs the Nats w/a 2.45 ERA and his last 3 starts have gone under! Dodgers look like a solid play to me but they better score atleast 6 imo to get over 8?
I also really like that Atl/Fla over. Olsen has an average 4.11 ERA but his FIP is 4.85 and xFIP is 5.06. He is a finesse fly ball pitcher. Atlanta versus:
Finesse: .762
Fly ball: .772
Jurrjens has a stellar 3.28 ERA, and his 3.39 FIP and 3.89 xFIP suggest that is mostly legit. But he is an average ground ball pitcher, and Florida versus:
Average P/F: .810
Ground ball: .768
Righty: .766
Road: .771
Tuesday Totals Play
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