[chipski]

sun may 11th
easy breakdown

teams trying to avoid the sweep :
NL
braves> 3rd game of 4 game series > ppd
dbacks > lost
dodgers > lost
nats > lost

AL
angels > lost
a's > won
mariners > won
royals > 4th game of 4 game series > royals were swept 3 in a row but won on sun avoiding the 4 game sweep
bjays > 3rd game of 4 game series > ppd


rubber games :
NL
reds at mets > split dh on sat > mets won
rockies at padres > padres won
phils at giants > giants won

AL:
yanks at tigers > ppd

extended action > 4 game series that end on monday :
cards at brew > brew won
braves at pirates > ppd
rsox at twins > twins won
bjays at indians > ppd

4 OF THE 6 TEAMS WERE SWEPT . (royals game 4 was sun and they won so #s would adjust accordingly , actually 5 of 7 were swept in the 3 game series , but only 4 of 7 if we look at royals avoiding the 4 game sweep on sunday )
home teams dominated the categories as well as the day .
9 - 3 home teams ruled !
6 - 6 fav/dog count for sun may 11th , 3 games rained out .

[don logan]

How bout them Marlins? Have they actually faced a real pitcher all year other than the Dodgers staff? They're scoring half a dozen by just flashing the opposing pitcher a dirty look. I read the Nats' Hill has been pitching through arm soreness last few starts, so tomorrow could be just another stat-padding day for Olsen.

[chipski]

niceee ! yes they are doin great . not sure who i like in that one sunday .
i would never take the nats in that situation though . i do know that for sure .

[Hellerud]

go marlins.. on them tomorrow its my 2 unit.

[ShowMeDaMoney]

Does anyone have information on teams winning %'s attempting to avoid a sweep over the last 3-4 years in baseball?

Would love to read some data. I know myself I play streak angles playing teams who have lost 3+ in a row especially when playing against a team who has won 3+ in a row.

I'm not sure how I could work this into my current "system" but I'd love to read some data on the amount of sweeps in baseball in the past few years.

[chipski]

Originally Posted by ShowMeDaMoney

Does anyone have information on teams winning %'s attempting to avoid a sweep over the last 3-4 years in baseball?

Would love to read some data. I know myself I play streak angles playing teams who have lost 3+ in a row especially when playing against a team who has won 3+ in a row.

I'm not sure how I could work this into my current "system" but I'd love to read some data on the amount of sweeps in baseball in the past few years.

yes , i have it all in notebooks tracked going wayyy back but dont want to know the overall #s really . i like it better just knowing by feel what has occured and goin by the present season we are living in and through .... kinda like it is all embedded in my heart how it works , believe it or not .

overall teams get swept more than they dont is what i believe without actually adding it all up from each year . because that is what i feel is true does not mean anything . this year they could avoid the sweep at an alarming rate . previous years mean little . is all about the 08 , matchups , luck ups , game of inches , blown saves , bad calls , previous years are not a TRUE gauge .
to me teams get swept more than they avoid the sweep simply because there are valid reasons why the team lost the first 2 in the series and odds are greater that that will carry over again in who wins game 3 . hot vs cold ... is my take

[ShowMeDaMoney]

would love to see some hard data

[pimike]

get away day seems to be no good. More sweeps than not

[chipski]

SWEEP CATEGORY FOR THURS MAY 15TH :

trying to avoid the sweep
Marlins 4th game > ppd
Rockies > lost

A's > lost
Tigers > lost
Twins > lost

my projections :
marlins ____ no clue / add : lean fla in another high scoring affair / ppd
rockies win > wrong they lost
a's lose > right they lost
tigers win > wrong they lost
twins lose > right they lost

dont feel great about any of those really , except tigers winning and indians winning .
playing webbs perfect #s to hit the L category . team is 8 -0 when he starts and he got the W in each of those wins (wow) .
realistic look ? how long will that hold up in the perfection sense ? will crash quicker than the blink of an eye and the stomp of your feet . honestly before you know it , the # s will be somewhat balanced for ariz when he starts ... like what ? if we went to sleep and woke up a month later the #s will read team wins when webb starts = 10 - 4 . haha not unbalanced to say the least but a big shot to the head 4 times if you back webb in that 30 day timeframe .
yes , he could go undefeated forever and be the greatest ever in mlb , but is rare for anyone to keep up any amazing #s because starting pitching is just 1 spoke in the wheel ... we will see .

add: EXCEPTION TO THE RULE > but dont get me wrong i was and have been all over ariz to be a great team this year and they have been so far .
maybe webb wins 20 games and loses 3 or 4 , leaving 9 or 10 starts left he gets a no decision in . so , a realistic team record when webb starts could be 24 - 10 / 24 - 9 . feel me ? the postive people would say nah he wins 23 games . lol

note : any inj and these #s and brainstorms are torn to bits . guys that play with nagging injs are why alot of our conspiracy theorys originate , they are not 100% so how can they overahieve or not f up when we need them to come up big .....

ADD RESULTS : ALL 4 TEAMS LOST AND WERE SWEPT !
marlins ppd which might have snuck an avoid 4 game sweep winner in there , we will never know .

[chipski]

sweep and avoid sweep parlay + cushion/umbrella :
marlins +1.5 > ppd
rockies +1.5 > no good
indians > good
tigers > notta !
bjays > good
$20 profits $257
$25 profits $321

yesterday this same combo would have been a 1 miss with tigers .

[chipski]

here we are on sat may 17th 2008 , God bless all and may we be so very thankful and grateful for our lives . may we make the most of it and live our life like it is a gift . because it is .

let's look at the teams that lost last night in game 1 of the series :
nl game > pirates
nl parks > bjays , indians , marlins , a's , cards , rockies , tigers , giants .
al parks > nats , astros , dodgers , mariners .

WHICH OF THESE TEAMS IS MOST LIKELY GOING TO BE TRYING TO AVOID THE SWEEP ON SUNDAY ? had to be 2 games ppd to throw me off a little bit . getting past that , here i go .

teams to win sat putting the opposing team into the trying to avoid the sweep category sun :
nl parks > royals win , drays win , twins win , wsox win .
al parks > o's win , angels win . that equals 6 teams trying to avoid the sweep sunday , throw in rsox sweep of the dh and a cubs win and we hit the normal 8 TEAMS TRYIN TO AVOID THE SWEEP SUNDAY .

rubber games prediction is simply resulting events because of the above being true , want to type it to see it and feel it more .
RUBBER GAMES ON SUNDAY :
bjays at phils > true
indians at reds > wrong
a's at braves > true
tigers at dbacks > true
astros at rangers > wrong
pads at mariners > true

left mets at yanks games out altogether .

as always this could be good or not good at all .

[chipski]

breakdown of above post #11 :
showing every winner on the board for sat may 17th according to the strategy in above post :

nl parks :
drays > lost
indians > lost
bjays > won
a's > won
royals > lost
twins > lost
tigers > won
wsox > won

al parks :
rsox x 2 > swept dh
angels > lost
o's > won
astros > lost
mariners > won

nl game :
cubs > lost
add : my take results go 8 - 7 , nothing special to say the least .

left the mets at yanks game out . team turmoil/media jive lately for mets should spark something good for them . mets spank yanks sat and sun . wang falls sunday .
leaving it alone and will just watch as a fan .

note : projection is for AL domination with 12 AL teams getthing the W . is a little unbalanced yes . if this is no good sat , i will go right back with AL domination for SUNDAY .

note : mets would be one of the few nl teams to get a win sat .

[chipski]

trying to avoid the 3 game sweep on sunday :

FIRST ROUND OF INTERLEAUGE PLAY 08 <>
nl parks:
indians > lost
giants > lost

al parks:
astros > won
nats > won
brew > lost

only 5 teams made the sweep category .
american leauge 9 wins to the national leauges 6 on sat . was al 7 - 5 on friday .
11 favs won of the 16 games on sat
4 favs won by a run .
home away was pretty even at 9 - 7 home teams edged .
mets game 1 being ppd altered the sweep #s by 1 maybe .

[chipski]

results were 3 of the 5 teams were swept on sunday .
both the nats and astros winning to avoid the sweep made no sense and was backwards to me . what can you do though , nothing .
the fact only 2 nl teams were swept playing the almighty al is not a true reflection of what will occur next go round .

the al/nl win count for sunday going into tonights game is nl leads 7 - 6 . nl won 5 of the 8 on sun playing in their home park .
al won 3 of the 5 in their home park with 1 left tonight .

tonights game to me is a #1 starter vs a # 4 starter , whatever that is worth . maybe nothing .
perez was good against the yanks and braves last year and 9 - 9 vs everyone else . the lefty was a combined 6 - 1 last year vs yanks and braves .

[chipski]

Originally Posted by chipski

team turmoil/media jive lately for mets should spark something good for them . mets spank yanks sat and sun . wang falls sunday .


note : mets would be one of the few nl teams to get a win sat .

stop the freakin presses ! this is what i really thought . haha
i look too good to do a youtube . would be too much jealousy .

[chipski]

wed may 21st sweep/rubber games going on :

trying to avoid sweep :

reds> lost
mets > (3rd game of 4 ) > lost . now facing 4 game sweep thurs >

a's > won
royals > (3rd of 4 ) > lost . now facing 4 game sweep on thurs > lost
rangers > (3rd of 4) > won > won game 4 as well . split series 2 - 2


rubber games : 3rd game of the series tied 1 - 1
cubs 1 at 2 astros > astros take 2 of 3
phils 2 at 1 nats > phils take 2 of 3
giants 2 at 1 rocks > giants take 2 of 3
cards 2 at 1 pads > cards take 2 of 3

[chipski]

thurs may 22nd

trying to avoid the sweep
nl:
pirates > won
mets > 4th game > lost
dbacks > lost , after looking like a world beater now they are dropping em .

al :
mariners > lost
royals > 4th game > lost
bjays > won
indians > lost


rubber games :
o's at yanks > yanks won , take 2 of 3

4th game of series twins lead 2 - 1
rangers at twins > rangers win and split series 2 - 2 as predicted before the series started .

RESULTS FOR THE SWEEP CATEGORY > 5 OF THE 7 TEAMS WERE SWEPT

[chipski]

Originally Posted by chipski

thurs may 22nd

trying to avoid the sweep
nl:
pirates > won
mets > 4th game > lost
dbacks > lost

al :
mariners > lost
royals > 4th game > lost
bjays > won
indians > lost


rubber games :
o's at yanks > yanks take 2 of 3

4th game of series twins lead 2 - 1 > split series 2 - 2
rangers at twins >

how will these categories be filled in ?
all the teams get swept ? 5 of the 7 were swept
balanced results ? no
home team yanks take the rubber game ? yes
santana saves the mets tonight ? nope

this is what i see happening :
mets win > false
pirates lose > false
dbacks win > false
mariners lose > true
royals lose > true
bjays not sure yet > lean bjays > true
indians not sure yet > lean clev > false

yanks win > true

am concerned about going with twins . one reason involves livan's #s being sooo good/unbalanced so far . twins 8 - 2 when livan starts . livan got shelled 10 - 0 at texas
back on apr 27th , a sunday daytime game .
he opposed the same starter that goes today for tex , padilla . padilla shut out the twins in that last matchup throwing a complete game shutout . geez !
my original prediction was that the twins 4 game series with tex was as even as it could get and that the series would end a split 2 - 2 .

we have a rematch , geez again !

[chipski]

the first 2 teams were swept today with 5 teams left trying to avoid the sweep .

the royals were swept in a 4 game series . the other 4 game series where the sweep possibility still remains is the mets at braves .

the first 2 teams were swept in the al , the next 2 up are bjays and indians trying to avoid . the odds are quite good that at least one of these will in fact avoid the sweep , if not both of them .

[chipski]

some 3 teamers for tonights action :

(1) mets , yanks , indians
(2) mets , yanks , pistons +5
(3) mets , mets under 8 , yanks
(4) brew , yanks under 9.5 , bjays
(5) mets , dbacks , pistons +5
(6) pistons +5 , under 173 , bjays
(7) dbacks , astros , padres
(8) padres , yanks , pistons +5
(9) mets , astros , padres
(10) pistons +5 , under 173 , yanks

5 teamer with all remaining teams to get swept with exception of mets + nba dog . has no chance but what the heck .
brew , marlins +1.5 , angels +1.5 , wsox +1.5 , pistons +5

5 teamer
mets , dbacks , dbacks over 8.5 , padres +1.5 , yanks

5 teamer nail the whole nl board
brew , mets , dbacks , astros , padres

6 team little shot billy with 6 of the home teams remaining , left out atl + pitt : has small chance but is fun for $5 !
marlins +1.5 , astros , padres +1.5 , yanks , bjays , wsox +1.5

the good favs were in the al . nl dogs winning , this is very predictable on a thurs , parlays are shot as i had the favs in the nl and they sucked out the ying . the under in the nba all of the sudden was a big joke . 2 best defensive teams and two 50 + pt quarters . that kind of game is what i thought game 1 of the lakers series would be as far as the total and it never came close to going over .
mets kill #2 and 3 . astros kill the 6 teamer . brew kills # 4 .
under 173 kills # 6 and 10 . # 8 will be good if pads hold lead .
funny how astros lose at home with their best pitcher . joke but not surprised at all .

[chipski]

teams trying to avoid the sweep today :

dodgers > won

mariners > lost
o's > lost
rsox > lost
wsox > won (sun night espn baseball)

royals (4th game) > lost (royals looking really bad)


there were four 4 game series in the nl and one in the al , so that's why there is only 1 team from the nl that made the category . plus marlins were pdd .

rubber games :

cubs at pirates > pirates won , soriano error in 9th inn gave game to pirates . bs going on .
mets at rockies > rocks won . bs going on .


rangers at indians > rangers won , some bs going on for sure .
twins at tigers > twins won , more bs going on .

RESULTS : 4 of the 6 teams were swept

[chipski]

teams trying to avoid the sweep on wed :

dodgers > lost
rocks > lost

al:
tigers > won
yanks > won

only 3 nl series started on monday .

rubber games on wed :
nl:
marlins 1 at 2 mets > mets won game 3 , take 2 of 3

al:
wsox 2 at 1 indians > wsox win game 3 take 2 of 3 , have now beat clev 6 out of 9 .
rangers 1 at 2 drays > drays win game 3 , take 2 of 3
rsox 1 at 2 mariners > m's won game 3 , take 2 of 3

RESULTS FOR SWEEP CATEGORY : 2 of the 4 were swept .
both nl teams were swept while both al teams avoided the sweep .

the wsox were the one road team to win the rubber game and the series of the 4 rubber games on wed .

[chipski]

like rangers , rsox in al rubber games .
mets in nl rubber game .

both nl teams get swept . rocks lose , dodgers lose .

yanks win and avoid sweep .
tigers win and avoid sweep .

[chipski]

Originally Posted by chipski

like rangers , rsox in al rubber games .
mets in nl rubber game .

both nl teams get swept . rocks lose , dodgers lose .

yanks win and avoid sweep .
tigers win and avoid sweep .

these predictions go 5 - 2 with the 2 misses being texas and boston .

[chipski]

teams trying to avoid the sweep on thurs :

nl:
braves > won
pirates > won
dbacks > lost

al:
royals > will it ever end . no > lost (now lost 11 in a row )

rubber games on thurs :
astros 1 at 2 cards > cards beat oswalt , won game 3 , take 2 of 3
nats 1 at 1 pads >

bjays 2 at 1 a's > jays won game 3 , take 2 of 3

[chipski]

Originally Posted by chipski

teams trying to avoid the sweep on thurs :

nl:
braves > won
pirates > won
dbacks > lost

al:
royals > will it ever end > no > lost (now lost 11 in a row and play clev on fri)

rubber games on thurs :
astros 1 at 2 cards > cards win game 3 , take 2 of 3
nats 1 at 1 pads >

bjays 2 at 1 a's > jays win game 3 , take 2 of 3

is shaping up for these categories like this with 5 games to go , 6 counting nats at pads .
every nl home team except the giants won the series so far which are unbalanced results . if we look for 1 away nl team to win the series we have 2 left , nats and astros .
nats game is tied 2 - 2 right now in the 7th inn .
giants are the only nl team of the 8 to win series so far .
if pads beat the nats and cards beat the astros it would be home teams 7 - 1 winning the series for the nl this round (mon - thurs games) .

RESULTS > 7 OF THE 8 NL HOME TEAMS WON THEIR SERIES , SF ONLY AWAY NL TEAM TO WIN THE SERIES .
RESULTS > 2 of 4 were swept this go round

[chipski]

team trying to avoid the sweep on sunday :
nl:
rocks > 4th game > lost
braves > lost
giants > won
astros > lost

al:
a's > won

rubber games :
nl:
nats 1 at 2 dbacks > dbacks win games 2 + 3
marlins 1 at 2 phils > phils win game 3 , take 2 of 3


al :
tigers 2 at 1 marines > tigs take game 3
indians 1 at 2 royals > royals won game 2 + 3 after losing 12 in a row , joke !
bjays 1 at 2 angels > angels win game 3 to take 2 of 3

sweep category predictions :
rocks get swept > true
braves avoid sweep > wrong
giants avoid sweep > true
astros avoid sweep but could be a sweep so very easy (this is swing game in how the #s come out , 2 - 2 for nl or ____ . > brew killed the astros
a's get swept > false
rubber game predictions :
both home teams win the rubber game in the nl > true
tigers indians win rubber game . > tigs avoid , tribe has forgot they were a mlb team

RESULTS : 3 avoid sweep and 2 are swept .

[chipski]

you can play the sweep category to go 2 avoid and 2 get swept in the nl and have a great chance at being 4 - 0 . braves mess that up and were the only fav in the nl to lose out of the 8 games sun , aint that some shi!

results > 3 were swept and 2 avoided the sweep .

teams get swept like its nothing to it ...

[chipski]

mon june 2nd sweep category

trying to avoid sweep :

o's > 4th game > won , avoided 4 game sweep (guthrie)

[chipski]

wed june 4th sweep category :

nl :
dbacks > lost , blown out
padres > won
marlins > 3rd of 4 in 4 game > won

al:
mariners > lost
tigers > lost , blown out

[chipski]

Originally Posted by chipski

wed june 4th sweep category :

nl :
dbacks > lost , blown out
padres > won
marlins > 3rd of 4 in 4 game > won
reds > 3rd of 4 in 4 game > won

al:
mariners > lost
tigers > lost , blown out

padres are the only team left . i included the 4 game series teams with the marlins and phils but i really dont count the 4 game for this category , just the 3 game series . showed it just to see it .

so if pads lose tonight it will be a complete sweep in the 3 game series sweep category .
dbacks lost , mariners lost , tigers lost , padres = pads won 2 - 1_____

on the cubs and hope they get the w .

results were 3 of the 4 teams were swept in the 3 game series

[chipski]

thurs june 5th sweep category + rubber games
nl:
nats > won game 2 of the dh and avoid the 3 game sweep . nats are struggle struggle right now and a good bet to go agaisnt in the next series when sf comes to town ... perhaps

al:
drays > lost
royals > lost

rubber games :
nl:
astros 1 at 2 pirates > pirates won game 3 , take 2 of 3 . astros won game 1 (rodriguez)
all 3 finished under the total

al:
bjays 1 at 2 yanks > yank win game 3 as ryan blows save and take 2 of 3 . jays won game 1 (halladay)
o's 2 at 1 twins > os win game 3 take 2 of 3 . twins won game 2 (perkins)


there were three 4 game series this go round and most of the games started on monday making the sweep category for today bare .

results : both al teams were swept . nats avoid the sweep in the nl .
2 - 1 teams get swept this round in the 3 game .

[chipski]

sunday june 8th sweep category + rubber game look :

trying to avoid sweep :
nl:
nats >3rd of 4 > lost > play game 4 mon (4 game category)
pirates > 3rd of 4 > won , play game 4 mon ( 4 game category)
mets > 4th game > lost (4 game category) swept 4 - 0
braves > lost
brew > won


al:
twins > 3rd of 4 > lost (4 game category) game 4 on mon wsox going for the 4 - 0 sweep . ( game 4 is a makeup game from rainout back on apr 10th)
bjays > won
rangers > won
a's > won

2 rubber games:
cards 2 at 1 astros > cards won game 3 by a run , take 2 of 3

mariners 1 at 2 rsox > rsox win game 3 , take 2 of 3

there were seven 4 game series this go round so not many scenarios for many rubber games .

10 teams making the sweep category is pretty large though considering there are seven 4 game series going this go round . ( 4 of the sweep teams are in the 4 game series) in 4 of the seven 4 game series , 4 teams stayed hot winning back to back and pads , giants and wsox with the triple back to back to back wins , ADD > and went on to sweep the 4 game series ..

in the al 3 game series teams were winning back to back instead of splitting the first 2 .
in the five 3 game series in the al only one split the first 2 games , the rsox ..

there are five 4 game series going in the nl with 2 concluding on sun .


results :
3 game series > 4 of the 5 avoided the 3 game sweep (one team to get swept was braves)
4 game > 3 of the 4 were swept ( 1 team to avoid sweep was pirates , game 4 on mon)

to go with nats and twins facing the 4 game sweep on mon > both were swept on monday
note: there were three 4 game sweeps this go round .

overall results : 4 were swept and 4 avoided the sweep this go round

[AGENT99]

great job thanks for all the work

[chipski]

Originally Posted by AGENT99

great job thanks for all the work

am a power to the people kinda guy ..
is my pleasure .