Halladay -330 tomorrow.....Buyer Beware!
I always give this warning to bettors during late August and September: "BEWARE OF THE HUGE FAVORITES AGAINST TEAMS THAT HAVE YOUNG GUYS PLAYING FOR THEIR LIVELYHOOD!" And year in and year out bettors don't listen and end up losing too much on the -300 favorite. Teams that are out of it and have their young prospects up are DANGEROUS! These kids seem to be a bit quicker than the veterans. They are playing with a chip on their shoulder. They are showcasing themselves for the next season. Furthermore, the huge favorites often "look past" these inferior teams. The veterans on the huge favorite teams do not even know who 90% of the underdog roster is. They probably go to sleep late, wake up late, and say all we have to do is get on the field and we will win. But, more often than not, that is not the case. As we saw last night with the big bad -300 Cardinals, with their ace - Wainwright- on the mound, against the inferior Pirates. The gashouse gang were only able to must 3 runs. They scored 2 in the first and then seemed to turn off the switch. And players like Tabata, Walker, and McCutchen beat Wainwright. Also, the big bad hitting Phillies only got up for the game enough to score 2 runs against the putrid Astros...IN PHILLY!
For today, luckilly, there is only 1 huge favorite on the board: Phillies (Halladay) -330 vs Happ and the Astros. Square logic tells us that its a sure thing, a lock, that Halladay will handle, if not shut-out the lowly, weak hitting Astros. The Phillies are pissed about last night. Theres no way they can lose again, Right? Wrong! Its never that easy. The Phillies bats have been dormant, to say the least. It seems as if Utley and Howard have both come back too soon from their injuries. The rest of the lineup seems to have flamed out as well. Werth, Victorino, Polanco, Rollins (besides his huge homerun last night) are not hitting consistently enough. The Astros are playing with nothing to lose. This is their World Series.....facing Doc Halladay and the mighty Phillies. This is J.A. Happ's Hall of Fame game. He will be up for this one...playing against his former team.
By no means am I telling you that Houston will win. But what I am telling you is not to tie up your money on a -330 favorite in this situation. As I tell fellow bettors: "Even the best teams in baseball lose 60+ games" and "even the best pitchers in baseball barely win 50% of the games they start".
I wish you luck with whatever you decide to do. Hopefully you learned something today
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Originally Posted by hugh4310
