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Old 08-22-10, 01:30 AM   #1
tanner40
 
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Default Betting Johan on Sunday

I know this is an ultra square pick. Mets bats have woken up these past two games, Johan has pitched better after the break. Zach Duke is horrible.

I hate laying this kind of juice on a road team (especially when Mets are 26-39 on the road) but I don't see this play losing. What angle favors the Pirates? Home team looking to avoid the sweep?
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Old 08-22-10, 01:34 AM   #2
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They have a winning record against lefties but Niese which isn't 50% as talented as Johan is put them away easily.

I like this but backing the Mets for the 2nd day in a row on the road makes me uncomfortable.
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Old 08-22-10, 01:37 AM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
They have a winning record against lefties but Niese which isn't 50% as talented as Johan is put them away easily.

I like this but backing the Mets for the 2nd day in a row on the road makes me uncomfortable.
same situation here. ill just stay away
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Old 08-22-10, 01:39 AM   #4
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Too much road chalk.

This line dropped 8 cents at Pinny after the open.
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Old 08-22-10, 01:49 AM   #5
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I think you guys are right. Still betting it though
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Old 08-22-10, 01:51 AM   #6
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i like pirates ml but i might take them +1.5. one of the best angles is home team trying to avoid the sweep.
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Old 08-22-10, 02:02 AM   #7
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I know LB its a suckers bet. I still think it hits. BOL
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Old 08-22-10, 02:03 AM   #8
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Taking Pirates Under
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Old 08-22-10, 02:04 AM   #9
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Duke isn't as bad as his ERA shows and the Mets still struggle for hits. I would probably avoid this, but best of luck.
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Old 08-22-10, 02:05 AM   #10
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I like Mets to win.
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Old 08-22-10, 02:42 AM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
i like pirates ml but i might take them +1.5. one of the best angles is home team trying to avoid the sweep.
i feel like this angle has failed me a lot this year, though i haven't played it religiously.
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Old 08-22-10, 02:46 AM   #12
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on paper, pitt should easily lose this game... but they are also extremely "due" for a win... so I wont be betting against them until they get one!
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Old 08-22-10, 03:14 AM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by texhooper View Post
i feel like this angle has failed me a lot this year, though i haven't played it religiously.
The Pirates are 4-11 with a average line of +134 since 2008 and 1-4 with a average line of +124 this year when they about to be swept at home in a 3 games series.

The Mets haven't lost when they had a chance to sweep away this year.

Last edited by TGHMak; 08-22-10 at 03:24 AM.
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Old 08-22-10, 03:31 AM   #14
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parlayin w under may'n
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