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  1. 01-24-10 09:25 PM #1
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Default Pair of 5s Sir Season Selection

    Welcome all to the Pair of 5s Sir season selections thread. Many of you who have followed in the past, know that I had a daily thread. But by requests of many, I intend on one thread for all selections.

    My unit count will be based on a true count. One unit for one game. For example, if selecting the favorite at -160, it will be risking 1.60 units to win 1.0 units. Conversely a selection on a +160, I will be risking 1.0 units to win 1.6 units. This is thevtrue blue way of recording a true record. Each thread follower would be able to determine how much would I have profited or not by applying dollar amount pet unit.

    My selection will include sides, RL and totals. Unlike last year, there will be no posting to the spreadsheet. With the anticipation of a number of iPhone postings, the spreadsheet is not technically solid. However, all posts will be posted to the thread.

    As always, opposing points of view are welcomed. The thread goes from the start of the season and ends approximately half way thru the season, give or take a couple of weeks either way.

    Beware O Contrare
    Points Awarded:

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 7 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 88 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TheLock gave Pair of 5s Sir 29 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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  2. 01-24-10 10:41 PM #2
    pimike
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    Look forward to a great year

    Let's get em!
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  3. 01-24-10 10:53 PM #3
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Always a pleasure Mike. Are you enjoying your popularity. Just remember, I was following pimike before following pimike was cool.
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  4. 01-25-10 01:36 AM #4
    TheLock
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    Baseball is officially peeking it's head over the horizon with the debut of the Pair of 5's 2010 thread. After the Superbowl there is not much between us and Spring Training.

    Any futures wagers blipping on the contrarian radar screen?

    I like Rangers and Marlins for a small play @ +2500.
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  5. 01-25-10 01:53 AM #5
    ryanspeer2001
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    Good luck this year!
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  6. 01-25-10 02:48 AM #6
    peterpan19
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    GL

    btw how did you do last year and do you have some futures too?
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  7. 01-25-10 02:55 AM #7
    PAPSMEAR
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    Welcome back to the fray Sir.

    Wondered where you got to.
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  8. 01-25-10 05:55 AM #8
    5050
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    You have any futures in mind?
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  9. 01-25-10 07:21 AM #9
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Last season officially +9 units. Looking forward to another go at it.
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  10. 01-25-10 07:23 AM #10
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    For my futures play, I am going with the Reds. I am just pricing them right now with various books.
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  11. 01-25-10 08:35 AM #11
    whatsgood5
    Let's fuckin' do it
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    Looking forward to your picks. Only about 2 1/2 months now!
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  12. 01-25-10 09:41 AM #12
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    I appreciate all the thread followers.

    One small step for man, one giant leap for the contrarians
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  13. 01-25-10 10:21 AM #13
    icsky3
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    gooood luck man
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  14. 01-25-10 10:33 AM #14
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    The contrarian mafia is well represented at the observation tower, I see.
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  15. 01-25-10 12:11 PM #15
    pimike
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pair of 5s Sir View Post
    Always a pleasure Mike. Are you enjoying your popularity. Just remember, I was following pimike before following pimike was cool.


    This year we need to hit and go toa a game together
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  16. 01-25-10 12:23 PM #16
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Without question, date and time. We will talk.
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  17. 01-26-10 06:39 PM #17
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    In this thread I mentioned the unit count system I employ on order to provide an accurate account of the selections. Too many hypsters with their 5 unit, 10 unit and sometimes 20 unit picks. You have an opportunity to weigh in on how a unit count should be calculated.
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  18. 01-26-10 07:46 PM #18
    Busterflywheel
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    I always bet 1 unit per game regardless of how strong my feeling are or what someone else has to say...
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  19. 01-26-10 08:46 PM #19
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    That's legit, the only way. I wish SBR would come out with an official unit count calculation. Official consistency is what I am getting at.
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  20. 01-26-10 11:15 PM #20
    TheLock
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    Anything in particular you like about the Reds?
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  21. 01-27-10 03:11 PM #21
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    I will be in Vegas in 2 hours to shop the futures.
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  22. 01-27-10 07:21 PM #22
    pimike
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pair of 5s Sir View Post
    I will be in Vegas in 2 hours to shop the futures.
    Have a great time

    Cubs are actually worth a shot
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  23. 01-28-10 12:23 AM #23
    TheLock
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pair of 5s Sir View Post
    I will be in Vegas in 2 hours to shop the futures.


    Just ship me the $$$ you would have sent in on the Reds and we'll call it a day
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  24. 01-29-10 01:13 PM #24
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Default Contrarian String Play

    For those who follow the contrarian, I occasionally come up up with a contrarian situation which involves a string of three plays. These selections involve money management and the ability to fade big favorites.

    We start the year with the Cy Young string play. We fade Lincecum and Greinke in their season debuts and continue the fade until a loss. We only go three games for protection. Be the big dog number you will get at the beginning of the season, the string can land a profitable start to the season.
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  25. 01-29-10 10:05 PM #25
    TheLock
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    Of the two, I'm a bigger fan of fading Greinke early on but I like this strategy nonetheless.
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  26. 01-30-10 03:21 PM #26
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Getting on the plane to go home from Las Vegas.

    Beware O Contrare
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  27. 01-31-10 12:50 PM #27
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Back home Contrarians to the east coast. The Las Vegas headquarters is all fine and dandy. Hung out at Caesars and Red Rock book during my trip along with sometime up in Mesquite at the Virgin River Book. The Virgin River book is associated with a network of books through the Southpoint Hotel and Casino.

    Stay tuned, stay threaded and stay contrarian.
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  28. 01-31-10 01:08 PM #28
    TheLock
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    Glad you have arrived home safely sir. Back to the real world where there is not a book 30 seconds down the street.
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  29. 01-31-10 04:01 PM #29
    pimike
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    I love Southpoint
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  30. 01-31-10 04:39 PM #30
    EXhoosier10
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    I like the string plays, especially with the lesser quality teams they play on.
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  31. 01-31-10 05:07 PM #31
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    As it relates to the string plays, money management is a key component. I have a formula that I am trying this year.
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  32. 01-31-10 05:08 PM #32
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    I would like to know the books that guys will use for bases. I am using 5dimes and Bodog.
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  33. 01-31-10 05:55 PM #33
    EXhoosier10
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    I used BetJamaica last year. between them, bodog, and betED, betJM had the best lines by a wide margin. I'm not sure how 5dimes lines are though.
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  34. 01-31-10 11:44 PM #34
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    Thanks Hoosier, I will add BetJamaica to my play list. I have been considering it for a while and others have many favorable things to say. See you in the thread.
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  35. 02-04-10 09:30 PM #35
    Pair of 5s Sir
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    My plays are contrarian in nature. I have had much success in the financial markets, using contrarian plays. These are some of the factors considered that lead up to the selection.

    What information does the public see, that makes the line, ie. ERA, streaks, and standings. This information for the novice players is overrated.

    Does the line make sense, particularly on the favorite. Oftentimes, the public will use the above, overrated information to pound the favorite. They see the information, and move the line accordingly to no success.

    Head to head records, where the line is lower than expected, for the dominating team.

    There are several other triggers but I won't bore you.
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