1. 04-16-14 10:38 AM #36
    keel44
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    April 15

    Mets     @ D-backs (+123)
    A's @ Angels (-100)
    Giants vs Dodgers (-105)
    Tigers/Indians Under 8 (-110)

    Overall: 30-20-2 (+9.64 units)

    19-5 run
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  2. 04-16-14 10:58 AM #37
    keel44
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    April 16

    Tigers/Indians Under 8 (-120)
    Giants vs Dodgers (-108)
    A's @ Angels (+101)
    White Sox vs Red Sox (+117)
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  3. 04-17-14 01:37 AM #38
    keel44
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    April 16

    Tigers/Indians Under 8 (-120)
    Giants vs Dodgers (-108)
    A's @ Angels (+101)
    White Sox vs Red Sox (+117)

    Overall: 32-22-2 (+9.64 units)
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  4. 04-17-14 11:34 AM #39
    keel44
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    April 17

    Giants vs Dodgers (-125)
    Tigers/Indians Under 7.5 (-120)
    White Sox vs Red Sox (-115)
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  5. 04-17-14 10:12 PM #40
    keel44
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    April 17

    Giants vs Dodgers (-125)
    Tigers/Indians Under 7.5 (-120)
    White Sox vs Red Sox (-115)

    Overall 32-25-2 (+6.04 units)
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  6. 04-18-14 11:26 AM #41
    keel44
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    April 18

    Tigers vs Angels (-112)
    Tigers/Angels Over 8 (-105)
    Orioles @ Red Sox (+119)
    White Sox     @ Rangers (+145)
    Giants     @ Padres (-109)
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  7. 04-19-14 12:20 PM #42
    keel44
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    April 18

    Tigers vs Angels (-112)
    Tigers/Angels Over 8 (-105)
    Orioles @ Red Sox (+119)
    White Sox     @ Rangers (+145)
    Giants     @ Padres (-109)

    Overall: 34-28-2 (+5.02 units)
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  8. 04-19-14 12:23 PM #43
    keel44
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    April 19

    Tigers vs Angels (-155)
    Tigers/Angels Over 7.5 (-110)
    Orioles @ Red Sox (+132)
    White Sox @ Rangers (+112)
    Giants @ Padres (-120)
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  9. 04-20-14 11:23 AM #44
    keel44
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    April 19

    Tigers vs Angels (-155)
    Tigers/Angels Over 7.5 (-110)
    Orioles @ Red Sox (+132)
    White Sox @ Rangers (+112)
    Giants @ Padres (-120)

    Overall 35-32-2 (+1.72 units)
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  10. 04-20-14 11:27 AM #45
    keel44
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    April 20

    Tigers vs Angels (-142)
    Tigers/Angels Under 9 (-100)
    Orioles @ Red Sox (+138)
    Giants     @ Padres (-100)
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  11. 04-21-14 11:00 AM #46
    keel44
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    April 20

    Tigers vs Angels (-142)
    Tigers/Angels Under 9 (-100)
    Orioles @ Red Sox (+138)
    Giants     @ Padres (-100)

    Overall: 38-33-2 (+3.72 units)
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  12. 04-21-14 11:05 AM #47
    keel44
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    April 21

    Orioles @ Red Sox (+148)
    Nationals vs Angels (-112)
    Tigers/White Sox Under 8.5 (-115)
    Giants @ Rockies (+115)
    Royals @ Indians (+138)

    Sorry I posted the Boston game late, but I was fading them all week. It was always going to be the play.
    Last edited by keel44; 04-21-14 at 11:07 AM. Reason: added play
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  13. 04-22-14 11:55 AM #48
    keel44
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    April 21

    Orioles @ Red Sox (+148)
    Nationals vs Angels (-112)
    Tigers/White Sox Under 8.5 (-115)
    Giants @ Rockies (+115)
    Royals @ Indians (+138)

    Overall: 40-36-2 (+3.08 units)
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  14. 04-22-14 12:02 PM #49
    keel44
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    April 22

    Tigers/White Sox Under 8 (-105)
    Royals     @ Indians (-107)
    Nationals vs Angels (-108)
    Yankees     @ Red Sox (+101)
    Giants     @ Rockies (-125)
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  15. 04-23-14 11:33 AM #50
    keel44
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    April 22

    Tigers/White Sox Under 8 (-105)
    Royals     @ Indians (-107)
    Nationals vs Angels (-108)
    Yankees     @ Red Sox (+101)
    Giants     @ Rockies (-125)

    Overall: 42-39-2 (+1.71 units)
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  16. 04-23-14 11:40 AM #51
    keel44
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    April 23

    Rockies vs Giants (-112)
    Royals     @ Indians (+114)
    Tigers/White Sox Over 8.5 (-115)
    Yankees     @ Red Sox (+108)
    Nationals vs Angels (-123)
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  17. 04-24-14 10:52 AM #52
    keel44
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    April 23

    Rockies vs Giants (-112)
    Royals     @ Indians (+114)
    Tigers/White Sox Over 8.5 (-115)
    Yankees     @ Red Sox (+108)
    Nationals vs Angels (-123)

    Overall: 44-42-2 (+0.59 unit)
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  18. 04-24-14 10:55 AM #53
    keel44
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    April 24

    Royals @ Indians (+115)
    Tigers/White Sox Over 7.5 (-105)
    Yankees     @ Red Sox (+105)
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  19. 04-25-14 12:11 PM #54
    keel44
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    April 24

    Royals @ Indians (+115)
    Tigers/White Sox Over 7.5 (-105)
    Yankees     @ Red Sox (+105)

    Overall: 46-43-2 (+1.64 units)
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  20. 04-25-14 12:16 PM #55
    keel44
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    April 25

    Royals @ Orioles (-100)
    Yankees vs Angels (-120)
    Blue Jays vs Red Sox (-116)
    Tigers/Twins Over 8.5 (-110)
    Rockies @ Dodgers (+132)
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  21. 04-27-14 11:37 PM #56
    keel44
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    April 25

    Royals @ Orioles (-100)
    Yankees vs Angels (-120)
    Blue Jays vs Red Sox (-116)
    Tigers/Twins Over 8.5 (-110)
    Rockies @ Dodgers (+132)
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  22. 04-27-14 11:54 PM #57
    keel44
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    My computer was down this week end, so I will post late picks/results for Saturday and Sunday.

    April 26

    Yankees vs Angels (-110)
    Tigers/Twins Over 8 (-110)
    Rockies @ Dodgers (-100)
    Blue Jays vs Red Sox (-105)
    Royals @ Orioles (+125)

    April 27

    Rockies @ Dodgers (+140)
    Blue Jays vs Red Sox (+102)
    Royals @ Orioles (-130)
    Yankees vs Angels (-170)
    Tigers/Twins postponed

    Overall: 54-48-3 (+4.97 units)
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  23. 04-28-14 11:21 AM #58
    keel44
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    April 28

    Rockies @ D-backs (+117)
    Indians @ Angels (+113)
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  24. 04-29-14 12:56 PM #59
    keel44
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    April 28

    Rockies @ D-backs (+117)
    Indians @ Angels (+113)

    Overall: 55-49-3 (+5.14 units)
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  25. 04-29-14 12:59 PM #60
    keel44
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    April 29

    Rockies @ D-backs (-108)
    Rays @ Red Sox (+157)
    Royals vs Blue Jays (-137)
    Indians     @ Angels (+117)
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  26. 04-29-14 01:34 PM #61
    Capper1124
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  27. 04-30-14 10:32 AM #62
    keel44
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    April 29

    Rockies @ D-backs (-108)
    Rays @ Red Sox (+157)
    Royals vs Blue Jays (-137)
    Indians     @ Angels (+117)

    Overall: 57-51-3 (+5.14 units)
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  28. 04-30-14 10:37 AM #63
    keel44
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    April 30

    Rockies @ D-backs (+103)
    Indians @ Angels (+140)
    Rays @ Red Sox (-105)
    Royals vs Blue Jays (-129)

    If the Angels and/or the Red Sox win, I will be done fading them.
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  29. 05-01-14 01:08 PM #64
    keel44
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    April 30

    Rockies @ D-backs (+103)
    Indians @ Angels (+140)
    Rays @ Red Sox (-105)
    Royals vs Blue Jays (-129)

    Overall: 58-53-3 (+4.14 units)
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  30. 05-01-14 01:10 PM #65
    keel44
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    May 1

    Rays @ Red Sox (+145)
    Rays @ Red Sox (+100)
    Royals vs Blue Jays (+106)
    Rockies vs Mets (-123)
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  31. 05-01-14 10:34 PM #66
    keel44
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    May 1

    Rays @ Red Sox (+145)
    Rays @ Red Sox (+100)
    Royals vs Blue Jays (+106)
    Rockies vs Mets (-123)

    Overall: 61-54-3 (+6.59 units)
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  32. 05-02-14 12:49 PM #67
    keel44
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    This is my strategy/theory of sports betting. The angle I choose to make money will be to take advantage of teams' trends.

    A team can only do 1 of 3 things in a fixed number of games. (1) They could win most of their games. (2) They could lose most of their games. (3) They could have a close to even mix of wins and losses.

    The odds, of course, play a huge part of whether there is profitability or not. The odds reflect how good/bad a team is thought to be. What I am saying is: a "good" team needs a stronger winning trend in order for you to profit, if you were to follow that team, because the odds will be higher.

    I choose to look for the opposite. I want to fade a "good" team or ride a "bad" team or ride/fade a "mediocre" team. Of course, "good" or "bad" team is relative to what the public thinks. That is easy to determine. This is to keep the odds lower.

    I need to create a set of parameters to try and take advantage of team's trending to make a profit. I need a "tell" of some kind to determine when a trend will take place.

    (1) Well, I just simply look at the team's recent performance and if they win/lose 4 in a row or 4 of 5, I will look for that to continue.

    (2) It needs to be "opposite" of what kind of team they are: GOOD or BAD. Middle-of-the-road teams have no discrepancy.

    (3) I bet on that trend to continue until a profit of around 4 units or until a "draw down" of around 4 units. Not a loss of 4 units, but a draw down. Of course, the max loss would be around 4 units.

    I set up these parameters to give the team a good chance to come to some sort of conclusion. Eventually, they will profit me 4 units or have a draw down of 4 units. I will play no more than 5 teams at once. If they play each other, I will not double up. I will cancel the bet if they play each other with opposite trending.

    *For point spread bets, such as over/unders, I look for a trend and bet the opposite to occur.

    Here are my baseball results broken down so far:


    (Retired betting trends)
    Ride Brewers - (5-0)
    Fade D-backs - (7-3)
    "Follow the last result Over/Under" Nationals - (5-1)
    "Follow the last result Over/Under" Tigers - (7-3)
    Fade Angels - (10-14)
    Ride Giants - (6-9)
    Ride Marlins - (1-4)
    Ride White Sox - (0-4)

    *current trending bets*

    Ride Rockies - (5-3)
    Ride Royals - (5-5)
    Fade Red Sox - (7-8)
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: fitguy67
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  33. 05-02-14 12:56 PM #68
    keel44
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    May 2

    A's @ Red Sox (+113)
    Rockies vs Mets (-128)
    Royals     vs Tigers (-136)
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  34. 05-02-14 11:14 PM #69
    keel44
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    May 2

    A's @ Red Sox (+113)
    Rockies vs Mets (-128)
    Royals     vs Tigers (-136)

    Overall: (62-56-3) +5.23 units

    Rockies are done for me +3.8 units, I believe.
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  35. 05-02-14 11:16 PM #70
    keel44
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    May 3

    A's @ Red Sox (+130)
    Royals vs Tigers (-105)
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