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Old 10-27-09, 01:50 PM   #1
stats13
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Default How do you NOT take Cliff Lee +145?

I mean, the guy is pitching lights out right now. How do you not take him,against anyone, anywhere, at +145?
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Old 10-27-09, 01:56 PM   #2
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you have to.. but i wouldnt take it huge. yankees lineup is unreal.
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Old 10-27-09, 02:41 PM   #3
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"How do you NOT take Cliff Lee +145?"

You take the Yankees with HorseBathia.
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Old 10-27-09, 02:50 PM   #4
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i get that CC is awesome too. its just cliff lee is posting insane pitching numbers right now, he's pratically unhittable. this game should be closer to -110 either way imo.
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Old 10-27-09, 04:39 PM   #5
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lee is something like 4-4 with a 5.04 era career vs nyy he won't be fooling them they have seen him many times, same goes for pedro thats why these lines are so high phils are way out matched here.
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Old 10-28-09, 12:38 AM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by stats13 View Post
i get that CC is awesome too. its just cliff lee is posting insane pitching numbers right now, he's pratically unhittable. this game should be closer to -110 either way imo.
The part you are missing is that the NL is an inferior league. You are comparing apples to oranges.

Did you see what Sabathia did in the NL?
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Old 10-28-09, 12:58 AM   #7
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oh c'mon, hte al isn't that much better
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Old 10-28-09, 02:06 AM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by stats13 View Post
oh c'mon, hte al isn't that much better

Yes it is.

The AL had a bit of an "off" year in interleague play this year. They "only" went 137-114, which is the same winning percentage as an 88 win team.

Do you compare 88 win teams with 74 win teams and say "it's close"?


Year/Win-Loss/Win Pct/Season win equivalent

2005 136-116 .540 87
2006 154-98 .611 99!!!!
2007 137-115 .544 88
2008 149-103 .591 96!!!!
2009 137-114 .546 88

In baseball, these kinds of records indicate complete domination.

And I ask you again, did you see what Sabathia did in the NL? Did you see what (insert name of any decent former AL pitcher) did when he switched leagues?

1. Sabathia is better than Lee, and it's not close
2. the AL East is tougher than the NL East and it's not close
3. the AL is tougher than the NL and it's not close
4. the 103 win Yankees are a better team than the 93 win Phillies and it's not close
5. the Yankees are home for this game

People who are not understanding the series and game one lines don't seem to realize points 1-4. This series is a relative mismatch. That's not to say the Phillies can't win. It's a seven game series, so anything can happen. I don't see value on the Phillies at these odds though.

The line for Game 1 looks right on to me. Wait until you see the line for Game 2!
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Old 10-28-09, 02:11 AM   #9
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yea yankees will win easily
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Old 10-28-09, 09:19 AM   #10
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i love the yankees here.
any time you can get cc in the -100's grab it by the horns and dry hump it into submission!
yankees 9-2.
Shit my bravos knocked Lee out in the 4th last time they played, I think the yankees can hit em. Lets not over think this one, the yankees are a strong play here. -490 to make $300. lets go yankees!!
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Old 10-28-09, 12:49 PM   #11
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phillies win 5-2
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Old 10-28-09, 01:07 PM   #12
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Take the yankees!!!!

Lang is on the phillies
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Old 10-28-09, 01:09 PM   #13
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Small bet on phillies ML
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Old 10-28-09, 01:50 PM   #14
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Nothing about this is gonna be easy for the Yankees. Yes they should be favored but if you look at it honestly besides A-Rod who on the Yanks is really swinging a hot bat right now. Texiara at times looks lost right now. Other than the 10-1 blowout the Angels really hung in there and actually outplayed them at times. I think the Phillies are actually hitting better right now. I watched every inning of all the games so far and if was a pitcher what middle 4 of a lineup is more dangerous for me. Utley,Howard,Werth & Ibanez or Texiara, A-Rod, Matsui & Posada. I know how this sounds but if Philly gets anything from Rollins & Victorino the Yanks are in real trouble. Just my 2 cents worth.
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Old 10-28-09, 01:55 PM   #15
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I like yankees today too...
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Old 10-28-09, 02:34 PM   #16
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put it this way. i got a small bet on philly tonight +145. i couldnt see laying odds on the yanks tonight. either no play or phils, imo
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Old 10-28-09, 04:12 PM   #17
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GO NEW YORK, GO NEW YORK, GO NEW YORK,!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!....GO NEW YORK, GO NEW YORK, GO NEW YORK,!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!......GO NEW YORK, GO NEW YORK, GO NEW YORK,!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Yeah.
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Old 10-28-09, 04:15 PM   #18
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Phillies ML
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Old 10-28-09, 04:27 PM   #19
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Im on the Phils game 1
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Old 10-28-09, 04:45 PM   #20
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Quote:
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Phillies ML
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Old 10-28-09, 04:45 PM   #21
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Phils Phils+165
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Old 10-28-09, 05:16 PM   #22
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Got to take the + for some action.
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Old 10-28-09, 05:17 PM   #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KGambler View Post
The part you are missing is that the NL is an inferior league. You are comparing apples to oranges.

Did you see what Sabathia did in the NL?


Lee was 22-3 with a 2.52 ERA last year in the AL

This year his ERA in the AL was 3.14 which would have been the 4th best in the AL

Last edited by pokernut9999; 10-28-09 at 05:23 PM.
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Old 10-28-09, 05:40 PM   #24
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Quote:
Originally Posted by stats13 View Post
I mean, the guy is pitching lights out right now. How do you not take him,against anyone, anywhere, at +145?
because.........

1) Sabathia has been just as impressive
2) Yanks lineup is the best in baseball
3) Yanks bullpen has the best closer in baseball
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Old 10-28-09, 06:07 PM   #25
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This one is a tougher call than it looks. based on the yankees play of late it looks like this game would favor the yankees. but if anything ill call for a play on the phillies
here with a guy who won the AL Cy Young a year ago in C. Lee and although sabathia has been tough and yankees have the home field n they have yet to lose a game at home in the postseason, baseball is a dynamic game n theres a good chance
they lose their first one here. looking at the pitching matchups early in the series game 1 is critical for the phillies to grab because none of the other matchups favor the phillies. for a hot-hitting team like the phillies having the extra DH in the lineup could bolster their offense even more. being the defending WS champs i look for the phillies to open sum eyes with a close win here. Go with the Phils here n GL.
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Old 10-28-09, 06:27 PM   #26
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lol bc there gona lose??
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Old 10-28-09, 06:29 PM   #27
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Go Phillies.
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Old 10-28-09, 09:28 PM   #28
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i so wanna bump this thread but dont want to jinx it

oops
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Old 10-28-09, 11:05 PM   #29
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Looking good stats
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Old 10-28-09, 11:10 PM   #30
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Cliff Lee does it again!
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Old 10-28-09, 11:13 PM   #31
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Quote:
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Cliff Lee does it again!
Hat a true Pro, he had no jitters at all calm cool and collect
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Old 10-28-09, 11:38 PM   #32
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cliff f'n lee
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Old 10-28-09, 11:51 PM   #33
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megavalue cashes. if you bet the yanks tonight, yous a sucka fool, no ifs ands or buts about it.
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Old 10-29-09, 12:54 AM   #34
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seriously where did all the haters go?
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Old 10-29-09, 12:56 AM   #35
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Quote:
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seriously where did all the haters go?
They are licking their wounds and pouting!
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