08-24-09, 12:36 PM
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#1
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F*ck You. Pay Me. Series for Week of 8/24/09 through 8/30/09
Well a weekend at the racetrack has the ears ringing still, but I'm back to pry money from the books this week in small ball, and man do I see some really awkward numbers for series bets this week.
You just can't get in the way of a charging bull. It is not a pleasant experience to get forklifted up into the air with no idea where you will land. Such is the case this Tuesday when the Rangers will be getting an excellent number (+270) for the series against the mighty but inflated in value Yankees. I am assuming that this is a line that the books are offering based upon the public's perception of the Yanks. This year it is deservedly so. But Yankee backers have not made much in the way of profit wagering on this team this year due to the economics invlolved when wagering on the Bombers.
The Rangers pitching staff boasts a red hot 1.412 whip with 15 strikeouts against only 6 walks, and get this only 8 runs alloawed 7 earned. The Yankees counter with a very pedestrian 1.728 whip to go along with the good 18 strikeouts and only 4 bases on balls, and the bad 20 runs allowed, 17 earned in only 16.2 innings.
As far as production from the hitting is concerned, the Rangers are in a bit of a funk, but playing against a staff that has a combined 6-7 record against should help matters some. Matter of fact, the Rangers play the Yanks pretty much straight up with a 4-6 overall mark the past 10 games and a 5-5 mark in games played in Gotham.
Millwood gets the go in game one of the series, and he absloutely loves pitching in Gotham as he has a 2-0 record there in his last two visits. A peek at the work he puts in when facing the pinstripes can be taken advantage of as he is 5-0 for the under against them. Don't stop the music.. Holland is very capable of beating Pettitte, who is 1-2 at home vs the Rangers and 2-3 overall in his last 5. Burnett will dismantle the Rangers on the last game of the series as he has incredible numbers against them to go along with a 4-1 overall record and 1-0 at home vs the Rangers.
Rangers+270 for series 1 unit
Rangers+1.5 -115 Game 1 1 unit
Rangers/Yankees under 9.5 -105 Game 1 1 unit
Series record 0-0-0
One peek at the success of the Dodgers against the Rockies says don't stop the streak. They have beaten the Rocks 8 out of the last 10 times they have faced each other overall, and also 7 out of the last 10 games in Colorado. No home field advantage there. The Dodgers have a few pitching problems but not the guys facing the Rockies (Kershaw, Weaver, Wolf) who boast a sterling 7-4 record combined. The Rockies Cook is on the shelf but Hammel and DeLaRosa are a combined 0-6 versus the Dodgers. No patching of a staff is gonna help that figure. Many goes deep twice in the series the Dodgers pad their lead by beating the piss out of the dog nipping at their heels.
Dodgers-105 for series vs Rockies 1 unit
Dodgers-115 Game 1 1 unit
Dodgers/Rockies over 9 -120 Game 1 1 unit
Record 0-0-0
This is not really a series per se, but more of a continuation of what has already been going on and simply not interrupting the flow. The Braves and Padres for whatever reason always seem to go under in games at Atlanta. Turner Field has the 25th ranked park factor, and San Diego plays in the worst park factor in the league (Petco). The Padres were built to play small ball, and the Braves were built to stop the other team from scoring. The Padres lack of power produces unders in the park that have low factors to begin with. The beat goes on. These teams have a sterling 9-0-1 record for the under in games played at Turner Field. That ought to be good enough to get me at least two of them in the next couple of days. The Braves don't f*ck around with the Padres, and have identical 8-2 records overall and at home against them. The price for the series was too steep for my taste (-370), so more than likely, I will pick my spots and play the Braves on the runline since obviously they will be -170 or more each game homies. I just can't pay that kind of vigorish for any sport.
Padres/Braves Under the Total for each game of the series
Padres/Braves under 8 -110 Game 1 1 unit
Record 0-0-0
Last edited by cocknocker; 08-25-09 at 02:14 AM.
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08-24-09, 12:51 PM
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#2
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Still watching the lines for today's action to figure out just what the hell I'm gonna play. I'm collecting info on a few games out west here later. The Joes are all over the Twins in Vegas. They are on every parlay . Some big money was thrown on the O's as well as the total for that game. Also look out for the door treatment with the A's as the public loves the Mariners for no other reason than ignorance. That game has had a few big bets on the total as well. Just getting all of the ducks in one row.
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08-24-09, 12:55 PM
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#3
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Welcome back CK.
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08-24-09, 01:10 PM
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#4
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Good to see you CK, lets win some money.
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08-24-09, 04:14 PM
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#5
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Wassup CK!! Glad to have you back bro......you have been missed by many on SBR! My wallet gets really sad when you're not around. Let's cash dis biotch!
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08-24-09, 04:21 PM
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#6
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I like tons of dogs today..
White Sox, O's, Rays, Tigers, A's, and even the Giants.
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08-24-09, 04:41 PM
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#7
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Okay I have had time to watch lines for a bit and here are the plays that I rolled with
Giants+145 Zito has controlled the line movement for this game
O's+1.5 -125 The Twins are overvalued in this game, Baker is 0-1 at home vs O's recently
A's+100
A's/Mariners under 8.5 +100
NFL Football
Ravens-2.5 (With a hook buy)
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08-24-09, 05:07 PM
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#8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cocknocker
NFL Football
Ravens-2.5 (With a hook buy)
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Can someone please explain to me what a "hook buy" is?
Is it simply just buying points?
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175 pts
3-QUESTION
SBR TRIVIA WINNER 02/07/2012
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08-24-09, 05:10 PM
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#9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EXhoosier10
Can someone please explain to me what a "hook buy" is?
Is it simply just buying points?
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You buy half a point. 
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08-24-09, 05:27 PM
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#10
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CK do you have any opinions on the Indians and Rays tonight?
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08-24-09, 06:31 PM
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#11
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from yesterdays thread:
Monday-
(3x) phillies -1.5/-150 (A3)
*hate the high juice laying -1.5...but its an autobet. i'll be at the game, obviously rooting against
my team.
(1x) brewers -1.5/-110
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08-24-09, 06:42 PM
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#12
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(1x) orioles +1.5/-110 (A1)
(3x) over mariners 8.5 (A4)
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08-24-09, 06:50 PM
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#13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by oda11
CK do you have any opinions on the Indians and Rays tonight?
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I like the Rays in that game, but it's kind of hard to go against Halladay at home even despite the sub .500 record against the Rays, rght? So my advice is to either take Halladay, or else stay away from that game. As far as the Wahoos are concerned, of course take em!
Sowers is 1-0 in games at KC, and Meche is a dumptruck waiting to off load
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08-24-09, 07:05 PM
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#14
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-Over Cleveland 9
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08-24-09, 07:18 PM
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#15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Down Wind Pheew
-Over Cleveland 9
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Avatar is pure gold, dude.
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08-24-09, 07:44 PM
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#16
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Thanks for the inputs ck, took Indians. BOL tonight.
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08-24-09, 10:02 PM
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#17
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Workin late, just got in. 3 Plays:
Det/Ana Under 4.5 in 1st 5 inn
Ana ml -135
Ana Over 4 Runs
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08-24-09, 11:01 PM
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#18
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perfect - the o's lose by 1.
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08-25-09, 01:10 AM
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#19
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Yesh! Let's go Giants! What a hit in the top of the 14th!
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08-25-09, 01:11 AM
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#20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dexter
perfect - the o's lose by 1.
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Of course! We had the runline and got the paper!
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08-25-09, 01:17 AM
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#21
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Now here comes the fun part. Can the Giants hold the lead?
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08-25-09, 01:38 AM
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#22
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And of course reliever heartburn is in full effect. The bases are juiced and the idiot walked in a run from the bases loaded jam that he allowed to happen! Relievers are horrible these days... It's like for some reason after the Giants scored the three runs in the top of the inning, I already knew the Rockies would score in the bottom of the inning..
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08-25-09, 01:39 AM
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#23
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unbelieveable. A walk off grand slam...
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08-25-09, 01:41 AM
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#24
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WOW, Giants, WOW.
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08-25-09, 01:41 AM
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#25
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I just lost my Under 9.5 of the game, unreal.
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08-25-09, 01:43 AM
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#26
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wow! that was brutal
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08-25-09, 01:51 AM
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#27
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mikey360
I just lost my Under 9.5 of the game, unreal.
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damn... that sounds absolutely terrible. i'd have written that off as a win a long time ago, 1-1 heading into extra innings. unreal for sure.
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08-25-09, 01:54 AM
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#28
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What a bad beat to go along with the Ravens today giving up cover within the last minute. Tough day at the office. The Dodgers come into town now and let's see what they can do against this team!
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08-25-09, 01:55 AM
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#29
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Masu485
damn... that sounds absolutely terrible. i'd have written that off as a win a long time ago, 1-1 heading into extra innings. unreal for sure.
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I had already updated my spreadsheet when it went to overtime, im sure this happened just to teach me a lesson, the game is never over until its over 
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08-25-09, 01:56 AM
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#30
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Masu485
damn... that sounds absolutely terrible. i'd have written that off as a win a long time ago, 1-1 heading into extra innings. unreal for sure.
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Sh*t I wrote off SF as a win with a 4-1 lead going into the bottom and look what happened. Rough last two days CK lets get this thang crackin.
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08-25-09, 02:19 AM
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#31
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A shot of Jack and now I'm ok... Whew! Okay plays for Tuesday in addition to my series bets:
Rangers+1.5 -115
Rangers/Yanks under 9.5 -105
Dodgers-115
Dodgers/Rockies over 9 -120
Braves/Padres under 8 -110
O's/Twins under 10
F*ck you. Pay me.
Last edited by cocknocker; 08-25-09 at 02:35 AM.
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08-25-09, 02:35 AM
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#32
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Word to the wise. The air conditioners are on in the Metrodome during this week. Why is that a necessity to know? The wind created from the conditioners blows inward toward the field and knocks home run balls down and turns them into doubles.
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08-25-09, 03:52 AM
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#33
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Joe McLovin is all over the Mariners again tomorrow. My info says that the public is leaning in the wrong direction. A couple of heavies that I am familiar with hit on the A's a few minutes ago. I am going to follow suit, and step out of my series wagers and get me some right now while the crumbs are at their highest that I may get..
A's+105 Crumbs Play of the Day
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08-25-09, 07:22 AM
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#34
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cocknocker
Word to the wise. The air conditioners are on in the Metrodome during this week. Why is that a necessity to know? The wind created from the conditioners blows inward toward the field and knocks home run balls down and turns them into doubles.
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Temps are gonna struggle to get into the 70's all week in Minneapolis. I have heard this before about the air conditioners, Whitey Herzog had a huge issue with this in the 87' series. Don't know why they would have the AC on when temps are gonna be unseasonably cool. The under seems safe though.
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08-25-09, 11:44 AM
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#35
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Ok,Let's do this again.Here are the games i'll be playing.
A's PK (Large) Tailing CK.
Snakes ML (Large)
Cubbies RL (Medium)
Redbirds ML (Medium)
GL guys .
Last edited by ragiche; 08-25-09 at 12:42 PM.
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