| Poster's Sportsbook Poll: 2011View Poll Results | ||
| # 1 5Dimes | 450 total points | 5Dimes Review |
| # 2 Pinnacle | 408 total points | Pinnacle Review |
| # 3 Heritage | 227 total points | Heritage Review |
| # 4 Bookmaker | 138 total points | Bookmaker Review |
| # 5 BetIslands | 129 total points | BetIslands Review |
| SBR Top-Rated SportsbooksRecommended List | ||
| Pinnacle Sports | SBR Rating A+ | Pinnacle Sports Review |
| 5Dimes | SBR Rating A+ | 5Dimes Review |
| BookMaker | SBR Rating A+ | BookMaker Review |
| Legends | SBR Rating A+ | Legends Review |
| Bodog | SBR Rating A | Bodog Review |
The parlays are just an experimental system to see if they can be profitable on top of straight bets. This is purely based on observations that this system hits a clean sweep fairly regularly, enough so that a parlay play may also be profitable. But they are more for fun so I wouldn't advise to tail them.
Panekkkkkk...what is the criteria for these picks?
I know you said in the top post it was some CIA top secret stuff that you didn't want to reveal because all the 7 figure bettors in SBR would move the lines too much (I guess). Now that you have played for a while can you tell us what the criteria is? Or is the CIA still making you keep that under wraps?
Originally Posted by Panekkkk
July 11, 2009
Cubs -172
Rays -175
Red Sox -166
3-way parlay: 1 unit to win 2.96
STRAIGHT BETS
YTD: 10-3 +5.59 Units
PARLAYS
YTD: 1-2 -0.30 Units
Last edited by Panekkkk; 07-12-09 at 09:20 AM.
Hah curious, I would love to but seeing as I have yet to make a penny off this (been tracking only) unfortunately the secret will remain for some time. Much like how many others share their picks but keep their spreadsheets/formulas/stats to themselves, so too will I. The system is simple but developing it was rather complex. I'm not so worried about those big 7-figure SBR bettors but I've seen what making some systems public can do (just ask CK). SBR is reaching far too wide an audience nowadays it seems. I will however continue to post pics and after seeing this thing chug along am fairly confident that the results will remain positive.
And as predicted, system will likely finish 2-1, with Oakland upsetting Tampa! ****ing knew it lol.
Last edited by Panekkkk; 07-11-09 at 07:33 PM.
keep up the good work panekk... looks like you could have stumbled onto something... quick question why haven't you started betting on the picks?
I have started betting but just betting small so far. Other plays that I have been making haven't been so successful!
July 12, 2009
Mariners -145
STRAIGHT BETS
YTD: 10-3 +5.59 Units
PARLAYS
YTD: 1-2 -0.30 Units
Not so thrilled with this play but that's all there is for today. GL!
YTD: 11-3 +6.59 UnitsJuly 12, 2009
Mariners -145
STRAIGHT BETS
PARLAYS
YTD: 1-2 -0.30 Units
Not so thrilled with this play but that's all there is for today. GL!
Great job Panek.I look forward to your 2nd half plays.
11-3 is nothing to sneeze at.
great job man... got any plays for tomorrow?
Won't get a chance to look until tomorrow morning. Expect picks daily between 9 and 11 am.
July 16th, 2009
No plays for today. Atlanta was originally a go but the line has dipped way beyond -180 at most books and therefore is a no play.
UPDATE: Adding the Dodgers. As I mentioned, this system is subject to when I look at the lines. I have never really gone back in the afternoon after making my morning picks to re-evaluate picks. Because this system has been so successful without me doing that, I'm not so strong on this pick (at least according to the system). Public has much more sway the further into the day you go, hence my hesitation, and the public is heavily influencing these lines (79% on Dodgers, moving line from -120 to -140). We'll see how this turns out and I'll go from there. But I hate riding that heavily with the public.
It's crazy how many different systems I have seen this game qualify for which means the books are in line to cash in big if the Dodgers lose!
Dodgers -140 (caution)
YTD: 11-3 +6.59 Units
PARLAYS
YTD: 1-2-0.30 Units
Last edited by Panekkkk; 07-16-09 at 04:59 PM.
YTD: 11-4 +5.19 UnitsJuly 16th, 2009
No plays for today. Atlanta was originally a go but the line has dipped way beyond -180 at most books and therefore is a no play.
UPDATE: Adding the Dodgers. As I mentioned, this system is subject to when I look at the lines. I have never really gone back in the afternoon after making my morning picks to re-evaluate picks. Because this system has been so successful without me doing that, I'm not so strong on this pick (at least according to the system). Public has much more sway the further into the day you go, hence my hesitation, and the public is heavily influencing these lines (79% on Dodgers, moving line from -120 to -140). We'll see how this turns out and I'll go from there. But I hate riding that heavily with the public.
It's crazy how many different systems I have seen this game qualify for which means the books are in line to cash in big if the Dodgers lose!
Dodgers -140 (caution)
PARLAYS
YTD: 1-2-0.30 Units
Well my instincts were correcting and I will no longer be adding plays late especially when line movements are based heavily on the public. Rodriguez was a beast last night and my original play in Atlanta was the correct call. Plays soon.
July 17th, 2009
Cubs -128 (*)
Giants -145
Mariners -145
White Sox -163
Parlay: All 4, 1 unit to win 7.1
YTD: 11-4 +5.19 Units
PARLAYS
YTD: 1-2-0.30 Units
Update: *Lines have changed such that Cubs game is no longer a play. I still booked it and still think the Cubbies will get it done but this play is flagged.
Last edited by Panekkkk; 07-18-09 at 01:00 AM.
Let's get a clean sweep or at least a 3 and 1!
I vote for clean sweep.. Lets get em Panekkkk!
Panek have you compared your system to the closing lines like 15 minutes before 1st pitch?
Unfortunately not and there's really no way to do it retrospectively. Going forward I will do the best I can but it will be a few weeks before anything becomes apparent. I was also a little weary about playing the first few days right after the all-star break but whatever, we'll see how this goes. I'm still trying to analyze and tweak as this goes along but this is the first I've noticed of plays changing as the day progresses. I like sticking to the mornings before the public starts hammering the favorites (like the Dodgers game yesterday).
A clean sweep would really help my bankroll back in check and would get me going heavy on this! So I second this!
For anyone wondering, the parlay system since I started tracking this back in June is up 25 units. It hit 5 clean sweeps which is good, but literally way too good, so I don't expect that to keep up.
UPDATE: Okay, so there are actually a number of plays that have changed as the day goes on. For now, I am going to stick with the system and go with the plays that I make in the morning as this is how this system was developed and I don't want to mess with a good thing. I will re-run things at closing (or about 5-6 PM when I leave work) and compare how the results would have fared to my early picks going forward from now on.
Last edited by Panekkkk; 07-17-09 at 03:22 PM.
Keeping in mind how much some of these plays can change as the day goes on, I'd just like to remind anyone following this that this is still in a testing phase so really tail with caution!!!
So close to the clean sweep!July 17th, 2009
Cubs -128 (*)
Giants -145
Mariners -145
White Sox -163
Parlay: All 4, 1 unit to win 7.1
YTD: 14-5 +6.74 Units
PARLAYS
YTD: 1-3 -1.30 Units
Hey Panek. Please learn to read and learn simple math b4 you come to my thread and run your mouth..Thanks
the system looks very promising i tailed all 4 picks today because i have been watching this thread... have you started betting each play or you going to wait for more testing?... thanks
Quote:
Originally Posted by Panekkkk
July 17th, 2009
Cubs -128 (*)
Giants -145
Mariners -145
White Sox -163
Parlay: All 4, 1 unit to win 7.1
So close to the clean sweep!
YTD: 14-5 +6.74 Units
PARLAYS
YTD: 1-3 -1.30 Units
Nice job Panek 3-1 Very solid day.
Yeah I've been betting each play. Still iffy on the parlays so I've been betting them small but I don't suggest tailing those for now
Last edited by Panekkkk; 07-18-09 at 09:55 AM.
SF fukked me pretty bad too man, I had a nickel on them and then I had a $200 6 team parlay with rockies and san fran left to cash and figures san fran fukks me, cost me $4,100!!
I also forgot to put action on SEA too like you, but if the reverse wouldve happened and Felix was out I wouldve been pissed so oh well I guess..
thanks for all the work you do with the system....i think the parley option will not be a play for me but again thanks again
All right Panekkk you got my attention.....Hmmmm....you up to something here sir!...I like it!
14 innings of one-run ball! I honestly hate those games. The home team seems to win extra innings game every time I bet on the road squad.
July 18, 2009
No "early"/official plays today. I'll see if anything changes as things progress.
Panekkk... are there any system plays today?
July 19, 2009
Got up a little late so hopefully this play wasn't influenced too much by the public.
Tampa Bay -142
YTD: 14-5 +6.74 Units
PARLAYS
YTD: 1-3 -1.30 Units
On it already let's cash it Panek
GreatDanes you don't need to ask, he posts his picks or posts that there are no picks EVERY day.
Lets get it today Panekkkk. I really like Tampa in this spot.
Reply With Quote
