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  1. #1

    MLB - Sunday, 8/5/12

    1 MLB Play Sunday


    Blue Jays +150 (Bookmaker)


    YTD: 224-186-16, +46.45
    Points Awarded:

    Weeton gave LT Profits 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 06/13/2013


  2. #2

    LT , i cant see how you like this play other than the fact your gettng 1.5 to 1...meaning you need to hit 40.01 out of 100 to make it profitable...
    milones numbers are EXCEPTIONAL at home, and they have a HUGE edge in the pen,

    stymied on this one..

  3. #3

    Quote Originally Posted by PRIMO99 View Post
    LT , i cant see how you like this play other than the fact your gettng 1.5 to 1...
    Ummm....yeah. The ML pay/price determines the value of the bet. +150 is substantially higher than where it should be.

  4. #4

    If Cespedes isn't in the lineup again, this is a no-brainer. Oakland is just a decent team who got hot because their pitching is solid. Their O is anemic, however.

  5. #5

    Quote Originally Posted by PRIMO99 View Post
    LT , i cant see how you like this play other than the fact your gettng 1.5 to 1...meaning you need to hit 40.01 out of 100 to make it profitable...
    milones numbers are EXCEPTIONAL at home, and they have a HUGE edge in the pen,

    stymied on this one..
    http://www.sbrforum.com/mlb-baseball...etics-a-25952/
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 06/13/2013


  6. #6

    Tommy Milone has a 1.51 home ERA coming off a really tough 8-0 loss to James Shields. Laffey is 5.24 in the month of July and likewise got buried by Seattle.

    The lineup for the Jays yesterday was almost 50/50 recent minor league callups including some real stinkers. After Griffin got hurt in the second inning, It took them until the 9th to get a single run off the A's bullpen which pitched into the 15th the night before. Milone COULD blow it but thats pretty much the only chance the jays have here. As long as the A's keep the pen out of it, they cover.

    Jays covered in extras yesterday at +160. Best of luck but i think you might have missed the boat on this one.

  7. #7

    again its all IMO, good arguments....
    at +150 that is slightly inflated il agree...

    but I know the jays, ive watched over 80 games..and THEY SUCK...
    and i know laffey
    despite to pitching to corners...HE SUCKS...

    and the jays pen...daw gone it THEY F***** SUCK ....

    so betting the jays
    and right now especially
    sucks !

  8. #8

    Quote Originally Posted by 40ozfreedom View Post
    Tommy Milone has a 1.51 home ERA coming off a really tough 8-0 loss to James Shields. Laffey is 5.24 in the month of July and likewise got buried by Seattle.

    The lineup for the Jays yesterday was almost 50/50 recent minor league callups including some real stinkers. After Griffin got hurt in the second inning, It took them until the 9th to get a single run off the A's bullpen which pitched into the 15th the night before. Milone COULD blow it but thats pretty much the only chance the jays have here. As long as the A's keep the pen out of it, they cover.

    Jays covered in extras yesterday at +160. Best of luck but i think you might have missed the boat on this one.
    Quote Originally Posted by PRIMO99 View Post
    again its all IMO, good arguments....
    at +150 that is slightly inflated il agree...

    but I know the jays, ive watched over 80 games..and THEY SUCK...
    and i know laffey
    despite to pitching to corners...HE SUCKS...

    and the jays pen...daw gone it THEY F***** SUCK ....

    so betting the jays
    and right now especially
    sucks !
    This game is a toss up at best so +150 is the right play. No team that is dead last in the Major Leagues in batting should be favored by this much.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 06/13/2013


  9. #9

    Athletics should win, but the Jays @ +150 is a +ev play. +EV plays will make you money in the long-run.

  10. #10

    MLB 5-Pack

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    1 MLB Play Sunday


    Blue Jays +150 (Bookmaker)


    YTD: 224-186-16, +46.45
    Adding:

    Twins / Red Sox UNDER 11 -120 (Heritage)
    Orioles +215 (Heritage)
    Royals +130 (Bookmaker)
    Blue Jays / Athletics UNDER 7 +100 (Rebate Wager)


    MLB Card complete
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 06/13/2013


  11. #11

    I have over 10.5 in red sox -
    but can't argue with your other plays and their value - at +150 you only need to win 41% of the time and I think toronto wins 5 outta 10 in this spot. I'm gonna wait a few days and watch the A's but going to be considering a huge A's fade train soon. Basically labby them not to win 3 in a row for the next month. They have been a bank roll builder for me so its only smart to build more on their regression.
    250pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 6/6/2013

    $25
    Charity
    donation 11/3/2012


  12. #12

    Good luck

    Been following your plays very solid stuff

  13. #13

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Adding:

    Twins / Red Sox UNDER 11 -120 (Heritage)
    Orioles +215 (Heritage)
    Royals +130 (Bookmaker)
    Blue Jays / Athletics UNDER 7 +100 (Rebate Wager)


    MLB Card complete
    GL to you
    I think there is a very good chance you go 1-5 today.

  14. #14

    Quote Originally Posted by freakydave View Post
    GL to you
    I think there is a very good chance you go 1-5 today.
    Are we going to go through this every day? No matter what I play, the reason I play it is because I think the odds offered are better than the odds of my projections. Oh and how DO you go 1-5 with five plays anyway?
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 06/13/2013


  15. #15

    Jays

    I'm not playing this game,jays just have too many injuries right now,so,if I was,my play would be oakland,they have way better pitching and a hot team right now to boot....

  16. #16

    Quote Originally Posted by starbuck2233 View Post
    I'm not playing this game,jays just have too many injuries right now,so,if I was,my play would be oakland,they have way better pitching and a lucky team right now to boot....
    Fixed. Oakland leads the world in walk-off wins and they are 18-12 in one-run games. They are not a legit second place team.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 06/13/2013


  17. #17

    The mans record speaks for itself
    I dont agree with 70% of his plays but at the end of the night the guy wins me bets so i cant complain

  18. #18

  19. #19

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Adding:

    Twins / Red Sox UNDER 11 -120 (Heritage)
    Orioles +215 (Heritage)
    Royals +130 (Bookmaker)
    Blue Jays / Athletics UNDER 7 +100 (Rebate Wager)


    MLB Card complete
    Winning day assured, I hope I don't end up winning 15 cents.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 06/13/2013


  20. #20

    Damn LT, you stay killing it. A 200 plus underdog who the hell cares about the jays.

  21. #21

  22. #22

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Winning day assured, I hope I don't end up winning 15 cents.
    Good day.
    Taking a chance on the O's was the big one. Great value. 1-0 in 10 innings
    Royals walk off in 10 on an error
    Alfredo slammed the door in the ninth after getting shelled the night before.

    A win is a win regardless.
    L.T. is the best on here, nevertheless.
    385pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 6/9/2013

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 6/14/2013

    $25
    Charity
    donation 11/3/2012

    $15
    Charity
    donation 4/20/2013


  23. #23

  24. #24

    Quote Originally Posted by mncosoldier View Post
    Lt didnt u work for a paysite
    Yes but no longer as of yesterday.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 06/13/2013


  25. #25

    good 1.8 win...i follow and learn...thanks!

  26. #26

    LT..u like anything in cards vs brewers game?..just woke up..last game to play

  27. #27

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Are we going to go through this every day? No matter what I play, the reason I play it is because I think the odds offered are better than the odds of my projections. Oh and how DO you go 1-5 with five plays anyway?
    You are good 4-1- congrats.

  28. #28

    Quote Originally Posted by shimeon40 View Post
    LT..u like anything in cards vs brewers game?..just woke up..last game to play
    No not a thing. But I do have Arizona Cardinals Money Line in NFLX.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 06/13/2013


  29. #29

    Lt is the king of underdog bets
    Been doin it all year

  30. #30

  31. #31

    Well done LT.. hope you lose the Cardinals pick tho = )

  32. #32

    Quote Originally Posted by NewYorkKnicks87 View Post
    Hater will hate, great Day LT keep up the great work!
    Yup,
    They hate before the game, tell him he will lose, and they are fading him.
    Only one guy has the guts to come back and tell him good job.

    They will be ripping his plays tomorrow, too.
    Good job, LT.

  33. #33

    Great day.
    I've also had great results playing a round robin parlay when you show three recommended underdog plays. 3 for 3 yesterday on those dogs paid +500 at least yesterday. With the large payoffs, hitting 2/3 is way into plus money for the round robin with 3 live dogs.

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