[jolmscheid]

Let's get it Cheme...

[Cheme82]

(CLE vs HOU) - Total Hits, Runs and RBI's - Asdrubal Cabrera (CLE)
(4713) Under 2½ (-130) Jun 22/12@06:05p
Risking US$97.50
To win US$75.00

[Cheme82]

Let's get it Cheme...

Nice little badge you get there for top winner last night bro

[jolmscheid]

Nice little badge you get there for top winner last night bro

Had some onside info from a sharp capper here on sbr

[Cheme82]

(SEA vs SD) - Total Hits, Runs and RBI's - Kyle Seager (SEA)
(5211) Under 2½ (-125) Jun 22/12@08:05p
Risking US$312.50
To win US$250.00

[Cheme82]

Results
1-2-0 +$100.00 1 no action, TB game was postponed.

YTD
30-23-1 -$4.00

[jolmscheid]

Here he comes!

[Cheme82]

Really wishing this turns out half as good as baskets.

[jolmscheid]

Can't wait to see you finish the season in the black! Then onto football?

[Cheme82]

(TB vs PHI) - Team to score first in the game (5820) Tampa Bay Rays -160 Jun 23/12@02:05p Risking US$40.00 To win US$25.00

[Cheme82]

(CLE vs HOU) - Will there be a run scored in the first inning? (5922) Yes -120 Jun 23/12@02:05p Risking US$30.00 To win US$25.00

[Cheme82]

(LA vs LAA) - Total Hits, Runs and RBI's - Albert Pujols (LAA) (6510) Over 2½ (+135) Jun 23/12@05:15p Risking US$200.00 To win US$270.00

[Cheme82]

(SF vs OAK) - Team to score first in the game (6721) Oakland Athletics +140 Jun 23/12@05:15p Risking US$ 75.00 To win US$105.00

[Cheme82]

Results
2-2-0 -$100.00 FML! Pujols goes 2-3, both hits leading off the inning, and nobody can get him home.

YTD
32-25-1 -$104.00

[Cheme82]

(CLE vs BAL) - Team to score first in the game
(5821) Baltimore Orioles +140 Jul 01/12@11:35a
Risking US$50.00
To win US$70.00

[jolmscheid]

Go get em cheme..

[Cheme82]

Loser already, solo shot by Cle. in the top of the 2nd.

[Cheme82]

​(NYM vs LA) - Will there be a run scored in the first inning?(7023) No -155 Jul 01/12@06:05 Risking US$77.50 To win US$50.00

[Cheme82]

(NYM vs LA) - Most Hits, Runs and RBI's(7003) Bobby Abreu (LAD) +110 Jul 01/12@06:05p Competitor: (7002) David Wright (NYM) Risking US$25.00 To win US$27.50

[Cheme82]

Kershaw is a piece of shit.

[Cheme82]

Results
0-3-0 -$152.50

YTD
32-28-1 -$256.50

[Cheme82]

(NYM vs ATL) - Total Hits, Runs and Errors
Under 27½ (-115) Jul 13/12@05:35p
Risking US$57.50
To win US$50.00

[Cheme82]

(PIT vs MIL) - Total Hits, Runs and RBI's - Andrew McCutchen (PIT)
(6811) Under 2½ (-170) Jul 13/12@06:10p
Risking US$510.00
To win US$300.00

[tb1984]

Good luck with your big play on McCutchen.

[Cheme82]

Thanks bro, bad start as he already singled in the first but hopefully the pitchers settle down and we have a 3-1 kind of game.

[Cheme82]

FML! McCutchen in the 9th. inning, 1 strike from cashing hits as solo shot.

Results
0-2-0 -$567.50

YTD
32-30-1 -$824.00

[Cheme82]

(HOU vs SD) - Total Hits, Runs and RBI's - Jose Altuve (HOU)
(8511) Under 2½ (-150) Jul 16/12@08:05p
Risking US$525.00
To win US$350.00

(HOU vs SD) - Total Hits, Runs and RBI's - Scott Moore (HOU)
(8515) Under 2½ (-130) Jul 16/12@08:05p
Risking US$325.00
To win US$250.00

[Cheme82]

Results
0-2-0 -$850.00

YTD
32-32-1 -$1,674.00

I'm going to grind this shit out a little longer, but if I get to -3k I'll stop, no way I'm giving back all the basketball profit. Thing that puzzles me is the fact that according to me the plays are solid just like the basketball ones. Maybe variance since the amount of plays is still small.

[easyliving]

the lines your taking are too heavily juiced therefore requiring you to hit a higher percentage. Compared to baskettball you can usually get -110 odds on both sides of a prop however in baseball due to the #s having more value its impossible to not have one side of a prop more juiced than the other. With all this in mind I would either suggest to decrease your unit size so you do not risk losing much or completely stop betting baseball props.

[Cheme82]

I still find them to be good bets. If something happens 66.7% of the time and I can get -170 for it I'm getting a good deal. You are right that in hoops I had most of my bets close to -110, I averaged -106 on 432 plays and hit 55.3% of them, hence the great results.

The one thing you are definitely right about though is that I have bet too much the last 3 plays. I don't find off lines as often as I did in hoops even though there are many more MLB games every day. I guess I got impatient and used my hoops bankroll to make those bets. Big mistake, I should have kept my bets small like I did at the beginning.

Thanks for your post.

[tb1984]

Yeah, cheme, I don't know about your bankroll but your recent betting amount is way higher than the early bets. Like you said, for me, you need to grind with MLB props and should not take any big shots.

Have you tried NO RBI prop bets? I think you will have some success. I don't like team's H-R-E totals and Score 1st Inning/No Score 1st Inning, those are crap shoots.

Also, I'm curious what things you consider for your MLB player prop bets?

[Cheme82]

I was playing with about 6k that I made off the last 3 months of hoops, I play at Bovada and they don't have the RBI props. I look at players averages and the pitcher. Also the over/under and try to determine how many at bats they will get. Then it's just probability and compare that to the available line. Same thing I did for hoops but somehow it's not working for MLB.

[tb1984]

It sucks that Bovada does not offer RBI props.

[Cheme82]

(SF vs ATL) - Total Hits, Runs and Errors
Under 28 (-120) Jul 17/12@05:10p
Risking US$90.00
To win US$75.00


(SF vs ATL) - Most Hits, Runs and RBI's
(6400) Melky Cabrera (SF) -120 Jul 17/12@05:10p
Competitor: (6401) Jason Heyward (ATL)
Risking US$60.00
To win US$5.00

[easyliving]

I was with Bovada for years but just made the switch to 5dimes. Usually better lines+more player props as well as faster payouts. Also tailed you tonight with the Atlanta plays