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Mlb 2012
will track all of my plays here. please feel free to chime in with your thoughts. all opinions and information are appreciated.
plays will range from 1u minimum to 5u maximum. all plays are to win amount (so, 2* Braves -109 means laying 2.18u to win 2u). i don't make many 5u plays, probably just a few per season.
one thing: i will use an apostrophe to signify a half-run (e.g., 7.5 = 7'). this is very professional, and will save us all a lot of time.
BOL to all this season.
Last edited by BiffTFinancial; 04-05-12 at 07:37 AM.
Thursday 4.5.2012
2* Braves ML (-109)
will probably add Jays/Tribe under later so long as we don't get an over ump there, waiting on a better number.
Like Braves too Biff but y only 109
lot of uncertainty. both SPs off of injury, Mets revamping lineup now that Reyes gone, new dimensions in Citi Field. we're probably getting some value based upon Hanson not having good numbers vs Mets and the fact that Santana still has name value even though it's been a long time since we've seen him dominate.Originally Posted by YOUNGBUCK
What up Biff. Good to see you doing baseball. I'm on the Jays today. Hopefully they win 3-0 for us haha. BOL buddy.
Good luck this season buddy.!!
hey, RoadDog, good to see you too. i don't blame you for being on the Jays. hottest team in spring training vs coldest (and coldest can't hit lefties). 3-0 seems like a definite possibility. BOL to you too, pal.
thanks, Terp! you too, pal.
Ricky's a horse. I'm expecting a big game from him.
Good luck this season
Biff, bol on the mlb season, keep up the good work.
Good luck this season Biff!
Playing Cubs, Pirates, Braves under 3.5 1st 5, and tigers over 7 for opening day. Might add Dodgers later if day starts good
ump update, per MLB.com
Dale Scott behind the plate in Detroit
Gerry Davis in Flushing
thanks, you too!
thanks, pacocn. may be with you on Dodgers -1 later. BOL today, pal.
BOL, Hotwings. i too will be checking out the Dodgers if the day starts the way that i hope. man, i sure could go for some Yesterdogs right about now...
Haha yeah there pretty damn good!! Only problem is no damn TV's!! I am about to head out with few guys from work to check out start of Tigers game now though at a local bar/rest.
have fun, Hot Wings. already angling to sneak out to bar at 3 pm with some of my chucklehead buddies to watch Tribe and Masters. this was a day made for blowing off work.
Potential bad news: Just saw report that Tim Welke is behind the plate for Jays/Tribe. That's bad for the under as Welke is a guy i simply don't like playing under with. Confirming.
per MLB.com, Tim Welke behind the plate in Cleveland. goddamn screwjob. no way could i play an over in this weather (wind so strong that it shattered a door on our building), but going under with Welke is playing with fire. nuts. oh well, plenty of season left...
adding
2* Dodgers -1 (-118)
Thursday 4.5.2012 updated card
2* Braves ML (-109)
2* Dodgers -1 (-118)
BOL to all today.
When u say -1, does that mean -1 1/2? My book doesnt offer a -1 and Im just making sure because Ive seen other cappers do the same.
Thursday 4.5.2012 final card
2* Braves ML (-109) - LOSER
2* Dodgers -1 (-118) - WINNER
1-1 -0.18u. passing on Jays/Tribe under turned out to be smart business.
sorry didn't answer this yesterday - went out to watch Tribe game and next thing i knew, it was this morning. actually, -1 means staggering your ML and RL wager so that your ML to win amount equals your RL stake, so that if your team wins by 1 run, you effectively push. some books (like 5D) offer -1 as an option. at others, you have to do the math yourself.
for example, if you wanted to play Rangers -1 today, ML is -178 right now, RL is +107. you'd lay 1.78u to win 1u on the ML, and 1u to win 1.07 on the RL. you'd be laying 2.78u to win 2.07u, which is roughly -134, and if the Rangers win by one run, you push (win 1u on the ML, lose 1u on the RL).
Friday 4.6.2012
3* Yankees/Rays under 7 (-110)
sure have missed the Trop. it's not guaranteed, but i suspect that we'll see Angel Hernandez behind the plate in Tampa (he was at first two nights ago in Miami, and MLB will likely keep the same crew in Florida). we got some serious over umps out of the way yesterday (T Welke, McClelland, Davis, Scott, DeMuth), obviating a great deal of risk on that front even if i'm wrong about Hernandez. Welke and McClelland are the two umps i never want with an under.
Last edited by BiffTFinancial; 04-06-12 at 07:30 AM.
Just wanted to pop in and wish you luck this season Biff Tee, always like to see what you are on.
Hope you have a profitable season.
thank you, Redscot, i really appreciate that. BOL to you too, pal.Just wanted to pop in and wish you luck this season Biff Tee, always like to see what you are on.
Hope you have a profitable season.
Good luck Biff! Will be checkin out to see your picks throughout the season!
thanks, Ryan, BOL to you too!
Liking the under here Biff Tee,mostly because I think C.C. can navigate that Tampa lineup today. After Longoria he's looking at:
4. Jeff Keppinger (R) DH
5. Sean Rodriguez (R) SS
6. Elliot Johnson (S) 2B
7. Carlos Pena (L) 1B
8. Jose Molina (R) C
9. Matt Joyce (L) LF
Pena and Joyce are nowhere near as effective against LHP's, and that 4-6 is about as soft as you will find in a major league lineup. Shields I will be keeping a close eye on this year though. He is a top tier pitcher but I think he regresses some this year. He made some adjustments last year with pitch usage that I think hitters will prepare for a bit better this year, and he also had better results than his peripheral numbers suggest. BOL on the play, I will most likely be on it too.
Learned something new today. Obviously you want the RL to win but its a way to protect your investment. Thanks man and good luck today.
Liking the under here Biff Tee,mostly because I think C.C. can navigate that Tampa lineup today. After Longoria he's looking at:
4. Jeff Keppinger (R) DH
5. Sean Rodriguez (R) SS
6. Elliot Johnson (S) 2B
7. Carlos Pena (L) 1B
8. Jose Molina (R) C
9. Matt Joyce (L) LF
Pena and Joyce are nowhere near as effective against LHP's, and that 4-6 is about as soft as you will find in a major league lineup. Shields I will be keeping a close eye on this year though. He is a top tier pitcher but I think he regresses some this year. He made some adjustments last year with pitch usage that I think hitters will prepare for a bit better this year, and he also had better results than his peripheral numbers suggest. BOL on the play, I will most likely be on it too.
i agree, Rescot, that Rays lineup is really toothless. Shields pitched pretty well against the Yanks last year, too. BOL to you today.
You love the Trop unders...Good luck this season, glad you got a thread going.
joe west @ hp for the tampa game
i sure do, italianbandit. they treated me great last year, hoping for more of the same this season. BOL to you too, pal.
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