Since, there aren't that many home dog to play recently. I'm going to try my hand on a Labby system. However, i will play this from Matchbook since even Pinnacle lines are a bit juicy with total.
Bank Roll 300( Not the same one with the 1000 for home dog)
Labby line
3-3-3-3 ( Under 6.5 risking 7.1 to win 6) Lost
3-3-3-3
3-3-3-3
3-3-3-3-7.1 Red Sox/A' under 8.5 risking8.63 to win 10.1
3-3-3-3 Card/Cubs under 7.5 risking 5.45 to win 6.0
3-3-3-3 Royal Twins under 9.5 risking 4.84 to win 6.0
1 more plays
Dback/Nats under 9 will be added depend on result from earlier game
Averaging the line after 1st 3 game play (3+8.5+3+3+3+3)/3 = 9 ie play Db under to win 9 units. Oh actually i got did the math wrong here, instead of putting in 9 which is Red Sox game risk i put in 10.1 the correct calculation is shown below.
So after the first 3 game line become
3-3-3-7.1-8.5
3-3
3-3
averaging all the last number for each row, which is around 6: So, an updated line after all 3 lines had been grade become.
3-3-3-7.1-5
3-5
3-5
and after DB game i cleared the second line( Although the actual bet placed was to win 9USD due to miscalculation)
Current line:
3-3-3-5
3-3-3-3-7.1 (new line and moved 7.1 from line 1 to line 2 so that each line would be of roughly the same weight)
3-5
1: Play Ranger instead of Indian @-130 for 64 to win 49.25 (moved to labby play)
2: LAA +114 for 68 to win 77.5
Labby:
I plan to increase the number of line to 4 lines but there is still some work to set it up properly
At least 2 play
1Under8 Red/Dodger
2Miami ML(NBA)
3:Texas Ranger @ -130
Since, the result had been better than i'm expected i will start with a fresh 3 new lines( and possiply 4 if i can figure how to manage them) to be conservative:
3-3-3-3 (Under 8 Red/LAD @+112 5.41 to win 6)
3-3-3-3 (Miami ML @ +120 risk 5 to win 6)
3-3-3-3 (Ranger ML@-126 risk 7.6 to win 6)
1:NYY/Red Sox over 9.5 @ -105 to win 8.6
2:Miami Heat ML @ +135 to win 10
3:Cleveland India ML @ -125 to win 6
4:Cardinal @ -121 to win 6
5:Brave @-125 to win 6
6:Brewer O8 @-116 to win 6
7:Indian U9 @-115 to win 6
8:Ranger U10 @ +108 to win 9.75
1:NYY/Red Sox over 9.5 @ -105 to win 8.6 WON +8.6
2:Miami Heat ML @ +135 to win 10 Lost -7.8
3:Cleveland India ML @ -125 to win 6 WON +6
4:Cardinal @ -121 to win 6 Won +6
5:Brave @-125 to win 6 Won +6
6:Brewer O8 @-116 to win 6 Lost -7.1
7:Indian U9 @-115 to win 6 Won +6
8:Ranger U10 @ +108 to win 9.75 Won +9.75
6-2 +27.45
YTD: 14-8 +42.70
BR 342.70
Labby Line to be updated later
3-3-3-3-5.4-7
3-3-6.75
3-3-3-3-5.6
3-3-3-3
3-3-3-3
3-3-3-3
3-3-3-3
3-3-3-3
Look like no Home dog play tomorrow. One lean so far is Brave ML on Labby line (most likely to win 6)
No Home dog play today.
If possible, quickly get NYY @-124 in the worst case you can lay NYY on MB.
Ok,i think this is all the play i got for today. All of them will be played on labby. Check back later for more detail.
1 NYY ML
2 Braves (Brave -1 would be more preferable)
3 Blue Jays (again -1 is more preferable)
4 Rockies/LAD over
5 Dback ML
6 NYY under
7 CWS under
For whoever follow this thread. I want to inform you all that i will not continue with labby system since, i just can manage them properly. Looking on these line, you will see that even though i've had a winning day for the last few days but i still got to risk more and more of my/our BR on these pick. As a result, the above 7 picks will be amount on similar system as my home dog play which based on Kelly citeria. Risk amount will be posted later.
Ok here is the stake for each bet. Note: the number on NYY is not a typo. I will post Pinny line along as well although i got slightly better line with MB. Btw, the amount based on current BR of 350USD.
Just want to inform whoever following my pick that in post 33# i made a mistake in play 6 and 7, you may notice that the lines listed are those corresponding to an under bet rather than an over bet, it because the actual plays are suppose to be CWS under and NYY under (this will look bad for me since NYY game is still 2-0 in 5th). Anyway, i feel like i owe you guy and explanation to what is going on. Consequently, record for today will be based on the over play with odd changing from + to -.