Quote:
Originally Posted by durito
Actually, NBA teams of -3 or higher win 74% of the time and WNBA teams win 71% of the time.
That difference can of course likely be attributed to lower scoring in the WNBA and thus lower spreads. Nevertheless, your statement holds no value.
|
I agree with his statement because not all favorites are the same. For example, Indiana is a five and a half point favorite but they're without their two best players for this game (from what I've read). Compare that with Seattle who is a 7.5 point favorite with all their players. Seattle is a much stronger favorite and I think they're actual chances of winning are over 90% while Indiana may be a 50/50 shot or less. You see these kinds of discrepancies in the WNBA all the time and you must pay careful consideration to the situation. I think that's what the earlier poster was referring to.