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Old 05-17-2008, 11:23 AM   #2 (permalink)
St. Andrew
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dark Horse View Post
I want to fade the White Sox tonight, but the Giants have lost every Zito start, and he has a terrible ERA, so I'd really like to be paid more than the +125 that is out there. How bad is Zito?
In all of Zito's starts this year, the Giants --on average-- give up 6.1 runs per game total. In all of Beuhrle's starts this year, the White Sox give up --on average-- 6.1 runs per game total. These pitchers have identical stats.

Over the last 10 games, the Giants are scoring 3.8 runs per game, the White Sox are scoring 4.1 runs per game.

These teams match up identically, but I would give the nod to the Giants because they are at home.
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