Pittsburgh Pirates +218
I'm playing the number here to make some headway in the contest because with this play, most players will be around 2/3 the way through to the 20 pick minimum at point at which some of the leaders might choose to stand pat.
Also, whenever I play a large fav on a Saturday they always seem to lose, so, going with the large dog . . . not the soundest of handicapping to be sure, but that's where I'm coming from on this one . . .