Quote:
Originally Posted by Ship It!
Playing devil's advocate here but notice that every team from the AL East appears on this list except Boston, widely regarded as baseball's best team.
|
Boston is 28th in Bullpen ERA going in to play today. Here's the link to all the Bullpen ERA's on Covers.
http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pag...b_regular.html
And while I do think the Red Sox will be there at the end of the year, and I do think there are times to bet on the Red Sox, they don't fit the BPS play.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ship It!
My only doubts about this system are the "edges" of the parameters set. (Not playing a team that was -131 that was a winner or not playing a team ranked eleventh that did not qualify for ERA by .01.
How do we know -130 and the top and bottom 10 are the majic #s? A rhetorical question....
I have enjoyed your work and am certainly not trying to be a hater tho!!
|
No question. The other day there were two teams tied for 10th. The next day, there was .01 difference between ten and eleven. While I don't have the numbers to prove it (and maybe LT does or maybe he doesn't), I suspect the trend would probably hold for the #11 team and a team that was -131, as well.
I think you can take the system and do whatever you want with it. Like LT, I didn't bet Oakland today even though there are a BPS play today. The reasons: 1. The A's have lost four straight. 2. They're having trouble scoring runs. 3. The Braves have been very good at home. 4. Tim Hudson, who has pitched very well for the Braves this year, is on the bump for the Bravos.
Doc