Quote:
Originally Posted by pimike
you got a pick where u can makr some money not such a big fav 1500 little steep
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Right, it is steep, but the thing is there is absolutely no way that Nadal will lose tomorrow. -1500 is really cheap when you consider that you need to win this bet approximately 93.75% of the time. Nadal would win this matchup 99.99% of the time they play. So it's "cheap" in that respect but I certainly understand your concern but I would not hesistate to bet this or tie it to any straight wager you make.
Some other matches/recommendations:
Janko Tipsarevic -102 against James Blake I feel is a strong play even though it is competitively priced. Blake is a terrible clay court player despite his strong showing at Rome this past week. True, JT has struggled recently (just 27-23 in his last 50 and 3-7 on clay in his last 10) but he has shown a knack for playing at high levels against the elite players. Plus, JB is a very impatient player and will look to slam the ball past JT while JT will attempt to force JB into using his backhand which is generally considered a weak aspect of his game. I like JT to win in a grueling 3 set match here.
if you want some "trendy" upset picks, I think a lot of guys will take
Ivo Karlovic tomorrow. He's been surprisingly playing well this claycourt season and Tommy Robredo must be feeling some fatigue having played 15 matches in the past 28 days including 5 3-setters. Plus IK has the best serve on tour and if the courts are as fast as people say they are then that can only help Karlovic.
Finally, you might want to consider
Nicholas Kiefer. Yes, Stanislas Wawrinka is considerably better and is on a major role and in much better form than NK who has seen better days and is now on the downward trajectory of his career, but Wawrinka is reported to be very fatigued right now and looked visibly tired against Martin the other day. He's played 12 matches the past 2 weeks now. The one thing other big advantage is that Kiefer is German and this is being played in his home country...however, you have to have some courage to bet against Wawrinka right now.
In the end, Nadal remains the safest play on the board tomorrow.