After compiling all of the team data from Covers.com and writing a VB.NET application that lets me easily process it and run tests, I've already found some interesting things.
First, in answer to the OP's question... I get 648-921 and -12.92 units for that system throughout the 2007 season. But if you only bet on teams with a ML of +133 or better, the results are 319-502 and +24.12 units. If someone can easily verify that for me, that would be great. I'm still in debugging mode.
Also, there was a thread on here somewhere about the Baseball Underdog system, where you bet on dogs with odds of less than +250 (3.500) not currently on a 3+ game losing streak, not facing an opponent on a 3+ game winning streak, and not facing a pitcher in the top 20 when ranked by ERA. According to most, that was a losing system but I can't test it with my data because I don't have the historical pitcher rankings.
But just for fun, I simplified it a bit by eliminating opposing pitchers with a win/loss percentage of 0.500 or better. I also eliminated opposing teams with a win/loss percentage of 0.500 or better.
When betting on home teams, the results were:
2007 Season... 118-120, +18.18 units
2006 Season... 120-121, +17.25 units
When betting on away teams, the results were:
2007 Season... 106-140, -7.39 units
2006 Season... 85-119, -14.65 units
Pretty modest gains, but it looks like a working system if you stick to the home teams only. Again, if anyone can verify these results for me that would be great.
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