I am interested in the connection between the puckline and the total in a game.
Obviously in a highscoring game the favorite has a greater probability of winning by at least 2 goals.
Ottawa is the favorite today and the o/u line is 6 -131/121 indicating that the book expect that there will be scored ca. 6.2 goals on average were this game played many times.
That is what I mean by expected total.
I wondered if the push probabilities and the o/u line in combination was enough to calculate this expected total.
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