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Old 11-29-2005, 07:57 AM   #2 (permalink)
Razz
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First of all, the mistakes everybody said the bookmakers were making (Dallas -2 vs. Denver; Washington +3 vs. San Diego) turned out to be right on the nose, and the betting public should have lost on those games.
On the first game, TB is a bad road favorite (it's not to hard to remember the last time, when they lost SU as a double digit fav). But, I think they will win this game, as Aaron Brooks has almost never put consecutive solid performances together, especially against the caliber defense he will face Sunday.
I don't see a problem with the Seattle spread at all. If anything, it should be lower. The Eagles are actually a better value play now than at any point in the Andy Reid era, because he has no choice but to run the football, and they have been doing so successfully since the TO debacle, and the rash of injuries. Seattle is nowhere near as coherent away from home, especially on the east coast. They have played two games on the east coast, and those are their only two losses of the season. They also missed ATS in those losses at Jacksonville and Washington. I think Philly will win this one outright as well.
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