Line movement theory question?
Calling all Line movement theorists!!!
Quick question here.
Handicapping 101 states that you always bet the team that was favored first even if that teams becomes the underdog (unless there is some injury see Florida vs. Georgia this year).
However the smart money method doesn't address this and instead says follow the smart money.
Example....Appalachian St vs. James Madison...line opened up with Appalachian St (-1) and with 76% of bets on Appalachian St, the line has shifted to James Madison (-1.5).
I know it's a tough question and only a few on here can address this type of question but how should we reconcile this difference?
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"The surest way to corrupt a youth is to instruct him to hold in higher esteem those who think alike than those who think differently." - Nietzsche
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