[Ganchrow]

The following is a breakdown by player of the number of winning scenarios out of the 32,768 remaining. The first through fourth columns following the player's name correspond to the number of 1^st through 4^th place finishes finishes respectively. (Note that if for example, two players tie for first place, then in this analysis each would receive credit for half of both first and second places. The next closest place in the rankings would then only receive credit for third place.) The last column represents the number of scenarios in which the player places in ANY money position (either alone or jointly).

Player  	1st	2nd	3rd	 4th	 Any
------------------------------------------------------						
Wade Wright	16,470	6,878	3,086	1,760	28,441	
Mulinello	4,269	4,414	2,105	1,580	12,560	
MAB     	2,106	2,887	3,375	3,710	12,619	
spliff  	1,515	2,400	1,812	1,379	7,221	
sonnythekid	1,467	1,088	844	747	4,240	
kissthecup	1,425	601	211	263	2,556	
nasdaq888	1,278	1,563	1,335	1,117	5,515	
ryeguy  	921	2,136	2,328	1,786	7,405	
barn8306	704	891	1,318	1,248	4,303	
eboppterp	556	674	926	984	3,238	
Dead Money	391	549	382	245	1,580	
dmariner	313	632	1,193	1,696	4,207	
TboneJones	259	536	824	1,082	3,037	
Timolyn 	199	523	1,042	1,107	3,024	
tbanaheimfan	142	265	405	591	1,557
sportsfreek	114	362	440	573	1,618
mathewvick	101	213	335	388	1,082
batlak  	91	98	159	223	656
Ira Wilton	77	784	1,495	1,947	4,606
tomc2356	60	377	564	676	1,831
scavsiu8	46	181	501	682	1,471
Orange  	46	237	482	614	1,448
BuddyBear	40	2,962	3,410	2,623	9,293
angeloperrucci	34	28	28	37	137
juuso   	32	55	100	123	334
Razz    	29	84	134	190	471
coasty163	28	83	204	373	736
Hilltopper	16	30	54	87	198
runningmark	14	46	90	142	323
topher79	12	74	127	224	487
astro219	5	22	61	64	167
patswin 	4	9	11	22	48
fitchjr1	4	8	8	28	51
rezster 	2	12	20	23	74
playaction	0	690	1,703	867	3,336
begolf25	0	138	670	1,078	2,112
Crayzee 	0	88	231	431	783
thealgrod	0	48	219	646	953
awol256 	0	24	103	227	369
woodyb97	0	24	22	19	69
Mr Nuts 	0	13	50	100	170
Junkyard Dog	0	13	15	21	50
bigpino62	0	6	36	92	148
Pegasus 	0	6	29	84	132
88159   	0	5	21	60	97
tblues2005	0	5	8	26	41
yellowdragon	0	3	1	11	16
jfnoonan27	0	2	6	5	14
Willie Bee	0	2	2	6	11
Santo   	0	1	2	27	40
romeydave	0	1	8	7	17
durito  	0	0	97	372	523
DoctorJ 	0	0	32	36	70
pags11  	0	0	27	45	82
bearwins1	0	0	24	49	83
Nightwolfkicksa	0	0	11	53	69
Shooter 	0	0	11	23	34
36crazyfists	0	0	10	24	38
moegreen	0	0	3	11	17
Razorbacks1	0	0	3	9	15
imgv94  	0	0	3	4	7
goodyisgood	0	0	3	21	30
Rosemary	0	0	3	6	11
Illusion	0	0	2	15	17
madmaxx 	0	0	2	3	7
Dbldown11	0	0	2	3	6
michiganfan08	0	0	2	2	4
BigD    	0	0	1	4	5
Cigz68  	0	0	1	3	4
locinator	0	0	1	2	3
belton  	0	0	0	11	11
rm18    	0	0	0	7	9
jaypor236	0	0	0	7	8
bigboydan	0	0	0	7	8
briguy42	0	0	0	5	7
gafl    	0	0	0	3	3
tennis_balls	0	0	0	2	4
Lefty0829	0	0	0	2	2
Sam FT  	0	0	0	2	2	
planetplaytex	0	0	0	1	1	
Tunes   	0	0	0	1	2	
		32,768	32,768	32,768	32,768	135,974

A few observations:

• Not all scenario are equally likely. Indeed some may beconsiderably more or less likely than others.
• It's mathematically impossible for 212 of this year 293 contestants to finish in the money.
• All of last year's 3 money place finishers (pags, imgv, and Ganchrow) have been eliminated from contention for 1^st place. Ganchrow has been eliminated from contention entirely.
• Mulinello is currently tied for 29^th place with coasty163 and Nightwolfkicksaz. Nevertheless, the second highest number of possible final outcomes (about 13.0%) have him winning 1^st place or 2^nd place (about 13.0%) .
• Over half of the remaining possible outcomes have Wade Wright winning 1^st place.
• The highest score still possible is 343, attainable by both Wade Wright and Mulinello. The highest number of correct picks still possible is 56, attainable only by Wade Wright.