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Old 01-30-2007, 01:25 PM   #1 (permalink)
Justin7
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Default NFL SB Props for idiots

If you don't know the difference between a median and a standard deviation, you can still profit from the super bowl.

The public always plays the big dogs, which shifts the price out of wack. The wise guys can't afford to tie up all their money on big favorites (although they will dump the rest of their capital there on Sunday).

Here are a few ones that have value:
No successful 2-pt conversion -500 (fair -1000)
No overtime -850 (fair -2000)

Also, you can bet the "No" on any prop that reads Will (name) score a touchdown. Again, the public likes the yes, and the sharps can't tie up all their money.

Then, there's the oddball this year
Under 3.5 sacks -125 (fair -300).

I might have more later.
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