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Old 09-20-2006, 01:13 PM   #1 (permalink)
Dark Horse
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Join Date: 12-14-05
Posts: 7,241
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Default NFL Power Rankings (experimental)

Based on just two games, so still very fluid.
Formula: ranking offense in pts per drive (1x); plus ranking defense in pts per drive (x1.5); plus ranking in net pts per red zone drive (x2). Divided by 10:

1) BAL 1.35
2) SD 1.5
3) JAX 3.3
4) ATL 3.5
5) CHI 3.8
6) PHI 3.95
6) NE 3.95
8) SEA 4.6
9) DEN 4.9
10) CIN 5.5
11) NO 6.05
12) ARI 6.3
13) MIN 6.6
14) NYG 6.7
15) STL 7.6
16) BUF 8.05
17) MIA 8.1
18) DAL 8.2
19) PIT 8.25
19) CAR 8.25
21) CLE 8.45
22) NYJ 8.75
22) GBP 8.75
24) TEN 9.55
25) KC 9.6
26) IND 10.4 (terrible defense)
27) HOU 10.8
28) SF 10.95
29) WAS 11.1
30) DET 11.7
31) TB 12.1
32) OAK 13.25

Home team with biggest edge: SEA 4.6 against NYG 6.7 (2.1 pt)
Road teams with biggest edge: JAX, BAL, PHI (all 7 pts or more)
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Excerpt from 'The Plaxico Penalty +3.5'
======================================== =

Bettors lose because they place too many bets. As the quality of wagers drops, the house edge increases.

Last edited by Dark Horse : 09-20-2006 at 01:27 PM.
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